{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a87638e-8ea1-497c-91ae-811a891a8c11", "symbol": "SAREGAMA", "name": "Saregama India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.096, "architecture_energy": 60.071, "architecture_maturity": 55.954, "architecture_confidence": 92.199, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 67.03, "upward_expansion": 87.68, "deceleration": 61.14, "rotation_down": 21.23, "downward_expansion": 9.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 508.560006, 496.487278, 461.317146, 430.813121 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 519.200012, "trend_reference": 395.560002, "distance_from_trend": 0.31257, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 439.411907, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181579, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.886298, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.578116, "excess_performance": 0.621825, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.31257, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105961, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.181579, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.342963, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.278863, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.38711, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.578116, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.151758, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10646734, "relative_activity": 0.992904, "balance": 5.151758, "dry_up": 0.482193, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084361, "annualized_volatility": 0.320179, "from_high_reference": -0.096258, "from_low_reference": 0.69093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 395.560002, "fair_value_reference": 439.411907, "structural_low": 307.049988, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.023371, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.010977, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.164304, "worst_return": -0.138012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.038697, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.038814, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.563822, "worst_return": -0.158797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.181948, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.104998, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.483459, "worst_return": -0.235684, "sufficient": true }, { 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4151081, "typical_volume": 10317438.85, "trend": 385.120001, "fair_value": 437.608318, "relative_strength": 26.90037, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.876209, "energy": 62.075865, "activity_lines": [ 490.113338, 479.432731, 440.841431, 413.902905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 518.5, "volume": 3092700, "typical_volume": 10366263.6, "trend": 390.471667, "fair_value": 438.489195, "relative_strength": 28.844342, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.299495, "energy": 63.802545, "activity_lines": [ 500.480003, 488.952731, 451.464764, 422.508066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 519.200012, "volume": 10646734, "typical_volume": 10722824.15, "trend": 395.560002, "fair_value": 439.411907, "relative_strength": 27.886298, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.095787, "energy": 60.071315, "activity_lines": [ 508.560006, 496.487278, 461.317146, 430.813121 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }