{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a8ad037-72a1-473e-88bd-263fb24457f4", "symbol": "SBRY", "name": "J Sainsbury plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.154, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 30.569, "architecture_energy": 61.861, "architecture_maturity": 11.117, "architecture_confidence": 70.023, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.21, "rotation_up": 76.02, "upward_expansion": 60.18, "deceleration": 12.42, "rotation_down": 14.22, "downward_expansion": 28.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 352.813333, 342.436364, 331.33128, 331.814898 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 353.1, "trend_reference": 331.873591, "distance_from_trend": 0.063959, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 289.072667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221492, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.743686, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.051224, "excess_performance": -1.1e-05, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008772, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.221492, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118082, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063226, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.051224, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928571, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50919690, "relative_activity": 1.385151, "balance": 0.928571, "dry_up": 1.619439, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047325, "annualized_volatility": 0.248497, "from_high_reference": -0.071522, "from_low_reference": 0.209046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 331.873591, "fair_value_reference": 289.072667, "structural_low": 296.206604, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.028308, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.009194, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.159853, "worst_return": -0.053073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.050297, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.023529, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180884, "worst_return": -0.151289, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.08366, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.02146, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.243859, "worst_return": -0.104856, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"energy": 41.174616, "activity_lines": [ 338.9, 325.575078, 324.420139, 327.371715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 345.0, "volume": 64408480, "typical_volume": 35113248.4, "trend": 329.436871, "fair_value": 287.950635, "relative_strength": -1.530017, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.605945, "energy": 44.761299, "activity_lines": [ 344.006667, 330.649375, 326.044684, 328.422888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 359.4, "volume": 63720226, "typical_volume": 36692433.95, "trend": 330.486984, "fair_value": 288.513926, "relative_strength": 1.332982, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.947973, "energy": 63.219639, "activity_lines": [ 350.926667, 337.569211, 329.019195, 330.355994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 353.1, "volume": 50919690, "typical_volume": 36761102.95, "trend": 331.873591, "fair_value": 289.072667, "relative_strength": -0.743686, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.568958, "energy": 61.861043, "activity_lines": [ 352.813333, 342.436364, 331.33128, 331.814898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }