{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a9cd90e-6efe-457e-9cf4-bb9addf4b4f1",
    "symbol": "MOTOGENFIN",
    "name": "The Motor & General Finance Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 92.119,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 23.972,
    "architecture_energy": 20.38,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.182,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.412,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.44,
        "rotation_up": 18.16,
        "upward_expansion": 52.55,
        "deceleration": 93.16,
        "rotation_down": 35.12,
        "downward_expansion": 20.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.84,
        27.690182,
        27.311,
        26.097226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 25.809999,
    "trend_reference": 24.628,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047994,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.501987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.153826,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.629553,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.208333,
    "excess_performance": 0.252042,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047994,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052299,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153826,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083888,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036296,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052518,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208333,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.272298,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 88090,
      "relative_activity": 0.979855,
      "balance": 5.272298,
      "dry_up": 0.391238,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.094954,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.389,
      "from_high_reference": -0.213589,
      "from_low_reference": 0.474857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.628,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.501987,
      "structural_low": 17.5,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.015932,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000203,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.271399,
        "worst_return": -0.199475,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.021572,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039981,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.220238,
        "worst_return": -0.11811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.089286,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015629,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.328707,
        "worst_return": -0.023112,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.06734,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.225189,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.083333,
        "worst_return": -0.168454,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.205285,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.059015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000586,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.207623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.23776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.111303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.201229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042301,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 65771.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 31.009744,
        "relative_strength": 2.250907,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.549919,
        "energy": 28.888494,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -1.622249,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 105956.55,
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        "fair_value": 30.945961,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 111530.85,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 132947.25,
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        "relative_strength": 16.819172,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 97344,
        "typical_volume": 135453.75,
        "trend": 23.524,
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        "relative_strength": 26.07977,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 134656.95,
        "trend": 23.638666,
        "fair_value": 30.906538,
        "relative_strength": 24.256962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 24.670113,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": 23.969646,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 68.666222,
        "energy": 74.772799,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 502,
        "typical_volume": 95834.75,
        "trend": 23.954333,
        "fair_value": 30.845641,
        "relative_strength": 15.260819,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 64.651714,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.75,
        "volume": 15308,
        "typical_volume": 94044.85,
        "trend": 24.119,
        "fair_value": 30.815833,
        "relative_strength": 17.562422,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.989014,
        "energy": 48.647939,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.056667,
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          26.763619,
          25.434107
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.34,
        "volume": 23618,
        "typical_volume": 92603.0,
        "trend": 24.234333,
        "fair_value": 30.761602,
        "relative_strength": 11.091823,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.822105,
        "energy": 33.780125,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.42,
          28.563273,
          26.991619,
          25.641914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.440001,
        "volume": 10460,
        "typical_volume": 89953.25,
        "trend": 24.391333,
        "fair_value": 30.698718,
        "relative_strength": 13.950204,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.857668,
        "energy": 26.309072,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.947334,
          28.446364,
          27.196905,
          25.848731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.950001,
        "volume": 18523,
        "typical_volume": 88848.75,
        "trend": 24.517,
        "fair_value": 30.615705,
        "relative_strength": 9.004771,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.921635,
        "energy": 20.916306,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.482001,
          28.171273,
          27.325429,
          26.013807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.809999,
        "volume": 88090,
        "typical_volume": 89901.05,
        "trend": 24.628,
        "fair_value": 30.501987,
        "relative_strength": 3.629553,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.972102,
        "energy": 20.379906,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.84,
          27.690182,
          27.311,
          26.097226
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}