{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7aa431e1-0cbd-4678-b85c-c045f8576c07", "symbol": "SSF", "name": "Surapon Foods Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 48.612, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.471, "architecture_energy": 59.658, "architecture_maturity": 9.925, "architecture_confidence": 74.129, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.68, "rotation_up": 66.71, "upward_expansion": 89.75, "deceleration": 42.2, "rotation_down": 17.07, "downward_expansion": 11.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.126667, 5.091818, 5.072843, 5.010506 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.15, "trend_reference": 4.909131, "distance_from_trend": 0.049066, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.701089, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.096664, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.157816, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.128422, "excess_performance": -0.063903, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049066, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023961, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.096664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013135, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00228, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128422, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.067768, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69900, "relative_activity": 1.092273, "balance": 1.067768, "dry_up": 1.111024, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022255, "annualized_volatility": 0.106489, "from_high_reference": -0.029953, "from_low_reference": 0.128422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.909131, "fair_value_reference": 5.701089, "structural_low": 4.563896, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.011229, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.011637, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.052632, "worst_return": -0.068881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.026694, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.075236, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.119565, "worst_return": -0.131579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.11579, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.180218, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.089679, "worst_return": -0.120253, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 5.036667, 5.044545, 5.019768, 4.944559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.1, "volume": 84400, "typical_volume": 79785.0, "trend": 4.862433, "fair_value": 5.73214, "relative_strength": -12.779799, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.50304, "energy": 34.44015, "activity_lines": [ 5.06, 5.050909, 5.033436, 4.960839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.1, "volume": 75700, "typical_volume": 72505.0, "trend": 4.875646, "fair_value": 5.721665, "relative_strength": -12.523561, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.523373, "energy": 38.15673, "activity_lines": [ 5.076667, 5.059091, 5.045438, 4.976166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.15, "volume": 54400, "typical_volume": 66500.0, "trend": 4.892078, "fair_value": 5.711243, "relative_strength": -10.182701, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.896792, "energy": 49.685508, "activity_lines": [ 5.106667, 5.075455, 5.060314, 4.993866 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.15, "volume": 69900, "typical_volume": 63995.0, "trend": 4.909131, "fair_value": 5.701089, "relative_strength": -9.157816, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.470512, "energy": 59.657916, "activity_lines": [ 5.126667, 5.091818, 5.072843, 5.010506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }