{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7aa47cf7-48c0-45ec-80c6-96fd52bf241f", "symbol": "000560", "name": "5i5j Holding Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.036, "architecture_energy": 51.462, "architecture_maturity": 86.189, "architecture_confidence": 68.168, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.05, "rotation_up": 26.72, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 46.39, "downward_expansion": 70.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.165333, 2.160909, 2.382476, 2.566022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.18, "trend_reference": 2.786333, "distance_from_trend": -0.21761, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.812599, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.224916, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.016001, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.347305, "excess_performance": -0.354705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.21761, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085048, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.224916, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.326639, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.27016, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1026, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.347305, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.26328, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 456857710, "relative_activity": 1.282319, "balance": 0.26328, "dry_up": 1.151809, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096683, "annualized_volatility": 0.341072, "from_high_reference": -0.40274, "from_low_reference": 0.117949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.786333, "fair_value_reference": 2.812599, "structural_low": 1.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.01061, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.0151, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.335442, "worst_return": -0.275229, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.035383, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.013811, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.363637, "worst_return": -0.134546, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032844, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.030929, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.214545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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-28.247592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.900325, "energy": 85.161121, "activity_lines": [ 2.109333, 2.248364, 2.523714, 2.694151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.09, "volume": 374550491, "typical_volume": 396581690.4, "trend": 2.833, "fair_value": 2.818447, "relative_strength": -28.817406, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.291439, "energy": 66.345046, "activity_lines": [ 2.098667, 2.188909, 2.463381, 2.644344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.25, "volume": 346891529, "typical_volume": 385699540.55, "trend": 2.811, "fair_value": 2.816227, "relative_strength": -21.45785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.168488, "energy": 60.644778, "activity_lines": [ 2.148667, 2.175818, 2.424, 2.606731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.18, "volume": 456857710, "typical_volume": 356274483.15, "trend": 2.786333, "fair_value": 2.812599, "relative_strength": -27.016001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.036452, "energy": 51.462126, "activity_lines": [ 2.165333, 2.160909, 2.382476, 2.566022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }