{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7aa8184c-36f4-4a37-bec7-3d734004c0ac",
    "symbol": "WXM",
    "name": "CI Morningstar Canada Momentum Index ETF Common",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 48.233,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 20.776,
    "architecture_energy": 18.799,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.319,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.149,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.52,
        "rotation_up": 27.38,
        "upward_expansion": 52.56,
        "deceleration": 79.43,
        "rotation_down": 34.08,
        "downward_expansion": 25.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.129999,
        50.40583,
        50.437131,
        49.929525
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 50.529999,
    "trend_reference": 49.106681,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.028984,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.199929,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.477488,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.929045,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.080369,
    "excess_performance": -0.040053,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028984,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055784,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.477488,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099767,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00929,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08438,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080369,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.562779,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 73500,
      "relative_activity": 0.779262,
      "balance": 0.562779,
      "dry_up": 2.032973,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021415,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135899,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023401,
      "from_low_reference": 0.361142
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.106681,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.199929,
      "structural_low": 45.415397,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.017284,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017445,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.099444,
        "worst_return": -0.066877,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.061608,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030381,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.120484,
        "worst_return": 0.046434,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.026993,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01439,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229351,
        "worst_return": 0.014972,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.28997,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.136512,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.517857,
        "worst_return": 0.062083,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-12-09",
        "end": "2022-12-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2022-12-30",
        "end": "2023-01-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-02-03",
        "end": "2023-06-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.009313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-07-07",
        "end": "2023-09-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.320054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044377,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.350005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.00107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008583,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 49.806717,
        "volume": 133700,
        "typical_volume": 82670.0,
        "trend": 44.765215,
        "fair_value": 31.623707,
        "relative_strength": 7.19971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.697376,
        "energy": 65.906887,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 85380.0,
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        "fair_value": 31.792741,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 75.14325,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 50.414845,
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        "trend": 45.47025,
        "fair_value": 31.963663,
        "relative_strength": 7.508938,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.739059,
        "energy": 75.710003,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 50.195518,
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        "typical_volume": 90215.0,
        "trend": 45.812826,
        "fair_value": 32.131518,
        "relative_strength": 7.576976,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.67036,
        "energy": 59.993585,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 50.65411,
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        "typical_volume": 93610.0,
        "trend": 46.154455,
        "fair_value": 32.304711,
        "relative_strength": 6.355574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.368079,
        "energy": 55.297568,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.902333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 51.202423,
        "volume": 81500,
        "typical_volume": 93685.0,
        "trend": 46.512041,
        "fair_value": 32.48025,
        "relative_strength": 6.393547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.605766,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 50.693985,
        "volume": 47600,
        "typical_volume": 92705.0,
        "trend": 46.879848,
        "fair_value": 32.654313,
        "relative_strength": 6.223065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.317358,
        "energy": 52.654218,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.451976
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 50.863468,
        "volume": 22800,
        "typical_volume": 91795.0,
        "trend": 47.207581,
        "fair_value": 32.828787,
        "relative_strength": 4.815973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.076624,
        "energy": 52.598805,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 50.93325,
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        "trend": 47.541617,
        "fair_value": 33.007641,
        "relative_strength": 4.722931,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.357159,
        "energy": 55.329264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 50.599998,
        "volume": 7600,
        "typical_volume": 88425.0,
        "trend": 47.792315,
        "fair_value": 33.178682,
        "relative_strength": 3.858611,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.891377,
        "energy": 46.815252,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.794252,
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          49.146665
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 51.220001,
        "volume": 18200,
        "typical_volume": 84050.0,
        "trend": 48.070306,
        "fair_value": 33.356105,
        "relative_strength": 4.168739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.407475,
        "energy": 50.832788,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 51.360001,
        "volume": 49600,
        "typical_volume": 81900.0,
        "trend": 48.337723,
        "fair_value": 33.531771,
        "relative_strength": 4.121448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.61722,
        "energy": 53.91602,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.080665,
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          50.329552,
          49.580044
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 49.860001,
        "volume": 112500,
        "typical_volume": 84505.0,
        "trend": 48.543875,
        "fair_value": 33.695971,
        "relative_strength": 1.088678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.208953,
        "energy": 33.513958,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.702217,
          50.774615,
          50.351865,
          49.678256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.099998,
        "volume": 74300,
        "typical_volume": 82625.0,
        "trend": 48.746214,
        "fair_value": 33.861895,
        "relative_strength": 1.160912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.70041,
        "energy": 26.478888,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.470666,
          50.654928,
          50.397278,
          49.778651
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.48,
        "volume": 506700,
        "typical_volume": 95990.0,
        "trend": 48.925229,
        "fair_value": 34.027547,
        "relative_strength": 0.25008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.286232,
        "energy": 16.431367,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.088,
          50.424251,
          50.372824,
          49.825992
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.529999,
        "volume": 73500,
        "typical_volume": 94320.0,
        "trend": 49.106681,
        "fair_value": 34.199929,
        "relative_strength": -0.929045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.776267,
        "energy": 18.79882,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.129999,
          50.40583,
          50.437131,
          49.929525
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}