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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.358, "architecture_energy": 44.301, "architecture_maturity": 89.04, "architecture_confidence": 71.255, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.03, "rotation_up": 46.61, "upward_expansion": 70.53, "deceleration": 62.43, "rotation_down": 26.9, "downward_expansion": 18.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 345.842753, 346.293405, 333.308783, 315.235443 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 354.07, "trend_reference": 292.091774, "distance_from_trend": 0.212188, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 300.876806, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.176794, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.731987, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.423313, "excess_performance": 0.297688, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212188, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08674, "read": "Rising" 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 327.986176, "volume": 5605345, "typical_volume": 4107965.8, "trend": 287.290618, "fair_value": 301.317428, "relative_strength": 10.032897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.567769, "energy": 56.80977, "activity_lines": [ 347.601388, 342.773967, 325.726479, 307.604389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 340.96, "volume": 5015783, "typical_volume": 4134557.45, "trend": 289.458054, "fair_value": 301.117647, "relative_strength": 12.777904, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.779539, "energy": 46.739853, "activity_lines": [ 344.215023, 343.564959, 329.144953, 311.06693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 354.07, "volume": 2605356, "typical_volume": 4016286.25, "trend": 292.091774, "fair_value": 300.876806, "relative_strength": 12.731987, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.357931, "energy": 44.300945, "activity_lines": [ 345.842753, 346.293405, 333.308783, 315.235443 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }