{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ac25ea1-21a8-407d-baa5-6c6cdcc2c5fd", "symbol": "600366", "name": "Ningbo Yunsheng Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.418, "architecture_energy": 47.863, "architecture_maturity": 28.265, "architecture_confidence": 66.302, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.37, "rotation_up": 10.78, "upward_expansion": 6.73, "deceleration": 57.3, "rotation_down": 70.06, "downward_expansion": 75.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.71, 12.79384, 13.014117, 13.04951 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.25, "trend_reference": 13.273458, "distance_from_trend": -0.077106, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.412923, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301402, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.699801, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133663, "excess_performance": -0.09046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077106, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010577, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301402, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195889, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106998, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058362, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133663, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767768, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 313592305, "relative_activity": 1.779589, "balance": 0.767768, "dry_up": 1.736696, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135616, "annualized_volatility": 0.63427, "from_high_reference": -0.336043, "from_low_reference": 0.225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.273458, "fair_value_reference": 9.412923, "structural_low": 10.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.015686, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.034389, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.336264, "worst_return": -0.157513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.046897, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.051846, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.68929, "worst_return": -0.168041, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016395, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.105784, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.483114, "worst_return": -0.319534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"energy": 66.324517, "activity_lines": [ 15.258531, 14.384218, 13.67595, 13.590359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.56, "volume": 321021661, "typical_volume": 154316499.75, "trend": 13.521792, "fair_value": 9.354644, "relative_strength": -12.447156, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.045792, "energy": 15.21594, "activity_lines": [ 14.162368, 13.962096, 13.50598, 13.458007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.73, "volume": 304305319, "typical_volume": 159287178.05, "trend": 13.425125, "fair_value": 9.367948, "relative_strength": -19.57296, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.511066, "energy": 25.68078, "activity_lines": [ 12.898, 13.423519, 13.274248, 13.277891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.96, "volume": 285216093, "typical_volume": 165822685.95, "trend": 13.324792, "fair_value": 9.384182, "relative_strength": -17.932071, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.818996, "energy": 48.947783, "activity_lines": [ 11.982, 12.972697, 13.077706, 13.118851 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.25, "volume": 313592305, "typical_volume": 176216175.3, "trend": 13.273458, "fair_value": 9.412923, "relative_strength": -10.699801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.417791, "energy": 47.863136, "activity_lines": [ 11.71, 12.79384, 13.014117, 13.04951 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }