{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ae421e7-a387-42ba-824d-e91a433020bb",
    "symbol": "CTO",
    "name": "Citigold Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.705,
    "architecture_energy": 35.582,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.554,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.491,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.08,
        "rotation_up": 24.98,
        "upward_expansion": 16.16,
        "deceleration": 64.11,
        "rotation_down": 44.69,
        "downward_expansion": 68.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0118,
        0.011618,
        0.013107,
        0.014294
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.013,
    "trend_reference": 0.01575,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.174603,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.007423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.751295,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.269376,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.133333,
    "excess_performance": -0.197039,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174603,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028777,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.751295,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.61795,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082694,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.513092,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.434347,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11529873,
      "relative_activity": 1.24928,
      "balance": 1.434347,
      "dry_up": 0.937206,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.198225,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.099424,
      "from_high_reference": -0.458333,
      "from_low_reference": 2.25
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.01575,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.007423,
      "structural_low": 0.008,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.321429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.321429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005386,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.285714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.181818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026076,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 1.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007215,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 4.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.444444,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.05,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.171556,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.545455,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9594483.8,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -65.049581,
        "energy": 70.181929,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.011133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 9536494,
        "typical_volume": 9941189.5,
        "trend": 0.016117,
        "fair_value": 0.007333,
        "relative_strength": -16.231168,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -64.096997,
        "energy": 63.346253,
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          0.011067,
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          0.013707,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.011,
        "volume": 9196188,
        "typical_volume": 9508663.85,
        "trend": 0.015917,
        "fair_value": 0.007372,
        "relative_strength": -18.93474,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.036906,
        "energy": 45.76788,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.011133,
          0.011473,
          0.013302,
          0.014482
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.013,
        "volume": 11529873,
        "typical_volume": 9229213.55,
        "trend": 0.01575,
        "fair_value": 0.007423,
        "relative_strength": -8.269376,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.704521,
        "energy": 35.582244,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0118,
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          0.013107,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}