{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ae6e305-efe1-4e41-87d3-d81c73921f7c", "symbol": "001326", "name": "Shenzhen SNC Opto Electronic Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.483, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.766, "architecture_energy": 49.472, "architecture_maturity": 4.104, "architecture_confidence": 53.71, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.12, "rotation_up": 16.71, "upward_expansion": 17.16, "deceleration": 45.61, "rotation_down": 65.58, "downward_expansion": 56.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.420001, 54.434495, 57.543023, 57.823656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 57.68, "trend_reference": 57.605151, "distance_from_trend": 0.001299, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.052758, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37161, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.988148, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134094, "excess_performance": 0.126694, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001299, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083618, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37161, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06088, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.089881, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034485, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134094, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.001397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8151264, "relative_activity": 1.405116, "balance": 1.001397, "dry_up": 1.146458, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158455, "annualized_volatility": 0.707131, "from_high_reference": -0.236026, "from_low_reference": 0.671884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.605151, "fair_value_reference": 42.052758, "structural_low": 41.57, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.031892, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.194828, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.152954, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.067545, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": 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"relative_strength": -10.910271, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.101027, "energy": 40.137117, "activity_lines": [ 51.540667, 57.611403, 58.825399, 58.596643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.900002, "volume": 6643074, "typical_volume": 5683109.25, "trend": 57.256484, "fair_value": 41.941927, "relative_strength": -10.182381, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.684986, "energy": 61.150121, "activity_lines": [ 48.245334, 54.655724, 57.531044, 57.796332 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.68, "volume": 8151264, "typical_volume": 5801131.45, "trend": 57.605151, "fair_value": 42.052758, "relative_strength": 8.988148, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.766165, "energy": 49.471868, "activity_lines": [ 50.420001, 54.434495, 57.543023, 57.823656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }