{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7afc8665-17fe-4937-8677-dc7bf626f60f", "symbol": "SUN", "name": "Sunsweet Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.242, "architecture_energy": 22.058, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 41.22, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.75, "rotation_up": 46.43, "upward_expansion": 29.24, "deceleration": 38.49, "rotation_down": 17.73, "downward_expansion": 49.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.533333, 2.474545, 2.478977, 2.527399 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.56, "trend_reference": 2.619926, "distance_from_trend": -0.022873, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.241836, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.210324, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.998951, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.130566, "excess_performance": -0.322891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022873, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064032, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.210324, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02813, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.22999, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016114, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130566, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.304796, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2632600, "relative_activity": 2.044762, "balance": 1.304796, "dry_up": 1.827225, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045673, "annualized_volatility": 0.208126, "from_high_reference": -0.263192, "from_low_reference": 0.153153 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.619926, "fair_value_reference": 3.241836, "structural_low": 2.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.457143, "directional_follow_through": 0.457143, "median_excess_return": -0.016663, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.135416, "worst_return": -0.144, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.028731, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.074337, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.211453, "worst_return": -0.167371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.000746, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047366, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.581343, "worst_return": -0.212552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.051818, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06962, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.055172, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.000191, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": 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"relative_strength": -26.005875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.545812, "energy": 25.655216, "activity_lines": [ 2.450667, 2.427636, 2.470305, 2.537697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.56, "volume": 1271900, "typical_volume": 1290260.0, "trend": 2.632741, "fair_value": 3.253194, "relative_strength": -24.032757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.609945, "energy": 21.444319, "activity_lines": [ 2.501333, 2.452, 2.47452, 2.532092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.56, "volume": 2632600, "typical_volume": 1287485.0, "trend": 2.619926, "fair_value": 3.241836, "relative_strength": -22.998951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.242168, "energy": 22.058025, "activity_lines": [ 2.533333, 2.474545, 2.478977, 2.527399 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }