{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b09819d-ce5f-4ef6-a7fa-4fed8af66265",
    "symbol": "N01",
    "name": "Nera Telecommunications Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 54.816,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 14.213,
    "architecture_energy": 24.232,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.725,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.769,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 66.53,
        "rotation_up": 55.75,
        "upward_expansion": 37.24,
        "deceleration": 41.37,
        "rotation_down": 14.97,
        "downward_expansion": 14.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.180867,
        0.177091,
        0.176295,
        0.176978
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.18,
    "trend_reference": 0.1779,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011804,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.105667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.703466,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.386455,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.154835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011804,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087408,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.703466,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157842,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003865,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.264067,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.601005,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 99000,
      "relative_activity": 0.434601,
      "balance": 2.601005,
      "dry_up": 0.992779,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053846,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.209631,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090909,
      "from_low_reference": 0.914894
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.1779,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.105667,
      "structural_low": 0.163,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001285,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.133333,
        "worst_return": -0.126308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.000236,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021353,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.253333,
        "worst_return": -0.116508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.015701,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003035,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.384615,
        "worst_return": -0.09709,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.124143,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019676,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.413333,
        "worst_return": -0.165048,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.157895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.095745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05102,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.745098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.094444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027027,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.079,
        "volume": 56000,
        "typical_volume": 282975.0,
        "trend": 0.084862,
        "fair_value": 0.119306,
        "relative_strength": -6.723439,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "typical_volume": 876135.0,
        "trend": 0.1532,
        "fair_value": 0.096551,
        "relative_strength": 26.427034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.462869,
        "energy": 39.807983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 642700,
        "typical_volume": 863450.0,
        "trend": 0.155667,
        "fair_value": 0.097157,
        "relative_strength": 26.872328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.954765,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 103700,
        "typical_volume": 845490.0,
        "trend": 0.157833,
        "fair_value": 0.097781,
        "relative_strength": 26.793171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.012705,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 355500,
        "typical_volume": 850250.0,
        "trend": 0.159933,
        "fair_value": 0.098435,
        "relative_strength": 23.949489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.93744,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 450100,
        "typical_volume": 863755.0,
        "trend": 0.161667,
        "fair_value": 0.099013,
        "relative_strength": 14.525921,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.607798,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 839470.0,
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        "relative_strength": 19.672925,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 18.507616,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 62000,
        "typical_volume": 574435.0,
        "trend": 0.1652,
        "fair_value": 0.100195,
        "relative_strength": 10.776294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 0.1665,
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        "relative_strength": 12.649449,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 0.167967,
        "fair_value": 0.101344,
        "relative_strength": 7.840626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.327052,
        "energy": 19.343191,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.163,
        "volume": 35200,
        "typical_volume": 391370.0,
        "trend": 0.1693,
        "fair_value": 0.10187,
        "relative_strength": 3.015966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.054669,
        "energy": 50.021579,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.168267,
          0.171927,
          0.175352,
          0.174794
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.171,
        "volume": 545900,
        "typical_volume": 400250.0,
        "trend": 0.1709,
        "fair_value": 0.102436,
        "relative_strength": 6.522072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.09196,
        "energy": 42.527443,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.168467,
          0.171273,
          0.174748,
          0.174903
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.172,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 318340.0,
        "trend": 0.1719,
        "fair_value": 0.103014,
        "relative_strength": 2.272651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.900522,
        "energy": 31.778641,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.1696,
          0.170927,
          0.17429,
          0.174974
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.183,
        "volume": 660500,
        "typical_volume": 348565.0,
        "trend": 0.173333,
        "fair_value": 0.103668,
        "relative_strength": 7.376875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.308387,
        "energy": 6.433577,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.174133,
          0.172727,
          0.174929,
          0.17569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.185,
        "volume": 115200,
        "typical_volume": 273000.0,
        "trend": 0.175,
        "fair_value": 0.104366,
        "relative_strength": 6.364904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.947953,
        "energy": 22.598556,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.178533,
          0.174873,
          0.175724,
          0.176443
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.18,
        "volume": 29900,
        "typical_volume": 241950.0,
        "trend": 0.1767,
        "fair_value": 0.105025,
        "relative_strength": 2.222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.982092,
        "energy": 26.367951,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.180267,
          0.176055,
          0.176014,
          0.176766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.18,
        "volume": 99000,
        "typical_volume": 227795.0,
        "trend": 0.1779,
        "fair_value": 0.105667,
        "relative_strength": 0.386455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.212612,
        "energy": 24.231791,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.180867,
          0.177091,
          0.176295,
          0.176978
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}