{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b18e632-1724-40da-ae41-3c17de95f51a", "symbol": "KEEL", "name": "Bitfarms Ltd.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.884, "architecture_energy": 15.993, "architecture_maturity": 65.667, "architecture_confidence": 81.676, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.97, "rotation_up": 15.59, "upward_expansion": 45.24, "deceleration": 87.68, "rotation_down": 42.03, "downward_expansion": 30.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.040667, 4.480182, 4.531667, 4.080258 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.88, "trend_reference": 3.517, "distance_from_trend": 0.103213, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.25654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.719447, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.736871, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.813084, "excess_performance": 0.62563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103213, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235625, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.719447, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292376, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077369, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414861, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.813084, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.068671, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 129565191, "relative_activity": 0.665557, "balance": 1.068671, "dry_up": 0.7778, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.308676, "annualized_volatility": 0.887056, "from_high_reference": -0.473541, "from_low_reference": 2.316239 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.517, "fair_value_reference": 2.25654, "structural_low": 1.795, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.098233, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.085931, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.308036, "worst_return": -0.336634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.1875, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.222373, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.150794, "worst_return": -0.367816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018932, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027654, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.396825, "worst_return": -0.782178, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.936508, 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"end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.28821, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.284884, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112069, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089686, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.385057, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004926, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.379464, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.211587, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.304577, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.089202, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.34, "volume": 43943367, "typical_volume": 38515603.15, "trend": 1.211933, "fair_value": 2.640374, "relative_strength": 9.892091, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.474839, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.421591, "energy": 39.296533, "activity_lines": [ 5.191333, 5.257636, 4.48719, 3.922903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.95, "volume": 131836520, "typical_volume": 195320482.2, "trend": 3.376, "fair_value": 2.210514, "relative_strength": 19.067523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.674779, "energy": 22.635288, "activity_lines": [ 4.698, 5.046182, 4.505714, 3.962989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.26, "volume": 139944209, "typical_volume": 194433003.95, "trend": 3.435333, "fair_value": 2.226347, "relative_strength": 28.401105, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.681379, "energy": 25.771019, "activity_lines": [ 4.417333, 4.891455, 4.545429, 4.020022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.97, "volume": 204317465, "typical_volume": 197083715.75, "trend": 3.481, "fair_value": 2.241796, "relative_strength": 17.299622, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.401566, "energy": 21.554963, "activity_lines": [ 4.175333, 4.686364, 4.546952, 4.054516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.88, "volume": 129565191, "typical_volume": 194671874.4, "trend": 3.517, "fair_value": 2.25654, "relative_strength": 7.736871, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.883944, "energy": 15.992702, "activity_lines": [ 4.040667, 4.480182, 4.531667, 4.080258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }