{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b1a93f9-0786-484b-b650-7f6471178f49",
    "symbol": "UNHH34",
    "name": "UnitedHealth Group Incorporated",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 79.469,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.293,
    "architecture_energy": 40.174,
    "architecture_maturity": 85.316,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.913,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.6,
        "rotation_up": 33.32,
        "upward_expansion": 64.83,
        "deceleration": 91.13,
        "rotation_down": 27.68,
        "downward_expansion": 19.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.171333,
        30.479262,
        29.30553,
        27.599088
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 29.67,
    "trend_reference": 25.711586,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.153954,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.267296,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.108133,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.848834,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.462193,
    "excess_performance": 0.519241,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153954,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071167,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108133,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101289,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108488,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173434,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.462193,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.036242,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 44246,
      "relative_activity": 0.42306,
      "balance": 1.036242,
      "dry_up": 0.800707,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058845,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284052,
      "from_high_reference": -0.114328,
      "from_low_reference": 0.549347
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.711586,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.267296,
      "structural_low": 19.15,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.001799,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004974,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.160897,
        "worst_return": -0.105956,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.022832,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00853,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.214573,
        "worst_return": -0.07799,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.007696,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022876,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.165548,
        "worst_return": -0.176569,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.049855,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.094145,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.386521,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 33.349337,
        "relative_strength": 13.12284,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.0,
        "volume": 214971,
        "typical_volume": 125084.85,
        "trend": 25.3163,
        "fair_value": 33.334677,
        "relative_strength": 15.947351,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 65.325496,
        "energy": 64.207314,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.095333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.42,
        "volume": 31076,
        "typical_volume": 123404.8,
        "trend": 25.451999,
        "fair_value": 33.32037,
        "relative_strength": 13.464402,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.631202,
        "energy": 60.525895,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.864,
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          27.04203
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.01,
        "volume": 44677,
        "typical_volume": 120269.9,
        "trend": 25.593593,
        "fair_value": 33.297267,
        "relative_strength": 9.051268,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.716649,
        "energy": 48.493135,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.526667,
          30.580849,
          29.055733,
          27.336094
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.67,
        "volume": 44246,
        "typical_volume": 104585.7,
        "trend": 25.711586,
        "fair_value": 33.267296,
        "relative_strength": 10.848834,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.29341,
        "energy": 40.173853,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}