{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b1b50ef-1773-4669-abcb-2c7b392afed3", "symbol": "ASTH", "name": "Astrana Health Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.457, "architecture_energy": 26.047, "architecture_maturity": 65.184, "architecture_confidence": 88.99, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.47, "rotation_up": 23.26, "upward_expansion": 58.99, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 40.16, "downward_expansion": 24.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.581667, 40.956, 39.718, 36.600237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 35.76, "trend_reference": 32.441167, "distance_from_trend": 0.102303, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.029679, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.020849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.353405, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.694787, "excess_performance": 0.507333, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102303, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.214411, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.020849, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043534, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195348, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.694787, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.186861, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3014823, "relative_activity": 1.136024, "balance": 1.186861, "dry_up": 1.0885, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124743, "annualized_volatility": 0.558251, "from_high_reference": -0.306977, "from_low_reference": 0.977876 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.441167, "fair_value_reference": 35.029679, "structural_low": 18.08, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.031987, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.143937, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.181833, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.320483, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.217069, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.290202, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.302191, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034698, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.095165, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 37.71, "volume": 709216, "typical_volume": 770634.5, "trend": 35.056333, "fair_value": 42.64141, "relative_strength": -7.226047, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.339922, "energy": 48.660119, "activity_lines": [ 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"close": 40.31, "volume": 2910794, "typical_volume": 2595348.75, "trend": 31.852167, "fair_value": 35.06391, "relative_strength": 24.960833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.256988, "energy": 59.745349, "activity_lines": [ 44.319, 43.112727, 39.837381, 36.13114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.56, "volume": 2820651, "typical_volume": 2616755.55, "trend": 32.196833, "fair_value": 35.050385, "relative_strength": 9.072809, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.868135, "energy": 30.546887, "activity_lines": [ 41.118667, 41.995364, 39.795071, 36.370355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.76, "volume": 3014823, "typical_volume": 2653836.85, "trend": 32.441167, "fair_value": 35.029679, "relative_strength": 4.353405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.456605, "energy": 26.046876, "activity_lines": [ 38.581667, 40.956, 39.718, 36.600237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }