{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b36c285-7904-478b-a301-f28f3a960445", "symbol": "DANGEE", "name": "Dangee Dums Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.093, "architecture_energy": 62.389, "architecture_maturity": 10.019, "architecture_confidence": 88.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.43, "rotation_up": 12.88, "upward_expansion": 15.84, "deceleration": 34.73, "rotation_down": 70.14, "downward_expansion": 89.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.985333, 3.071273, 3.185095, 3.186516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.95, "trend_reference": 3.19, "distance_from_trend": -0.075235, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.556603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.550072, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.337142, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.023179, "excess_performance": 0.02053, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075235, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061673, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.550072, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032718, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163371, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10446, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.023179, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.45425, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 297347, "relative_activity": 0.486766, "balance": 0.45425, "dry_up": 0.4043, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081617, "annualized_volatility": 0.451326, "from_high_reference": -0.419291, "from_low_reference": 0.161417 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.19, "fair_value_reference": 6.556603, "structural_low": 2.54, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.053241, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.011631, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.053241, "worst_return": 0.053241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.173611, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.199291, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.173611, "worst_return": -0.173611, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.319444, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.322161, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.319444, "worst_return": -0.319444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.476852, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.588727, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.476852, "worst_return": -0.476852, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2021-10-22", "end": "2021-11-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055629, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2021-11-19", "end": "2022-09-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.849886, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-09-30", "end": "2022-10-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.059341, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2022-10-21", "end": "2022-11-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.127315, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-11-18", "end": "2022-11-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118681, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-12-02", "end": "2023-12-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.382114, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2024-03-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.229437, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.014815, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.156888, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.259146, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.152918, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.115566, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.175978, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003401, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 12.95, "volume": 459624, "typical_volume": 2808366.45, "trend": 14.365, "fair_value": 14.839444, "relative_strength": -31.032893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.51061, "energy": 16.926549, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 3.16, "volume": 192362, "typical_volume": 646099.55, "trend": 3.276, "fair_value": 6.821218, "relative_strength": -12.151493, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.51762, "energy": 19.876376, "activity_lines": [ 3.208, 3.238, 3.272, 3.251763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.13, "volume": 157674, "typical_volume": 633534.25, "trend": 3.260333, "fair_value": 6.755705, "relative_strength": -12.644882, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.975364, "energy": 15.494923, "activity_lines": [ 3.185333, 3.210909, 3.263762, 3.242344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.95, "volume": 228920, "typical_volume": 630655.6, "trend": 3.236, "fair_value": 6.689359, "relative_strength": -14.923225, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.069648, "energy": 40.676746, "activity_lines": [ 3.105333, 3.159091, 3.237667, 3.222323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.94, "volume": 303946, "typical_volume": 616794.4, "trend": 3.209, "fair_value": 6.621346, "relative_strength": -16.670877, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.863371, "energy": 51.382139, "activity_lines": [ 3.033333, 3.111273, 3.210952, 3.203226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.95, "volume": 297347, "typical_volume": 610862.5, "trend": 3.19, "fair_value": 6.556603, "relative_strength": -16.337142, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.093298, "energy": 62.38893, "activity_lines": [ 2.985333, 3.071273, 3.185095, 3.186516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }