{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b3eaf69-8016-43f4-90dd-4c63e2195b51", "symbol": "213610", "name": "Kodex Samsung Group Value", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.293, "architecture_energy": 19.997, "architecture_maturity": 64.692, "architecture_confidence": 76.404, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.41, "rotation_up": 14.67, "upward_expansion": 41.87, "deceleration": 87.94, "rotation_down": 42.08, "downward_expansion": 33.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 21636.958203, 22867.856356, 23179.4361, 22035.811192 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21245.0, "trend_reference": 20307.70638, "distance_from_trend": 0.046155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11095.906316, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.91467, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.167036, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.384554, "excess_performance": 0.154726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.227747, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.91467, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.385884, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.10167, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109666, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.384554, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.697596, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 93927, "relative_activity": 0.484435, "balance": 0.697596, "dry_up": 0.66731, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117662, "annualized_volatility": 0.443049, "from_high_reference": -0.2543, "from_low_reference": 1.221876 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20307.70638, "fair_value_reference": 11095.906316, "structural_low": 15220.625309, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.011469, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.015881, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.106254, "worst_return": -0.049724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.007387, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.010593, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.10929, "worst_return": -0.088453, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.096133, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.045969, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.121387, "worst_return": -0.110699, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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21691.990726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21891.583984, "volume": 116258, "typical_volume": 203481.55, "trend": 19787.426888, "fair_value": 10934.715736, "relative_strength": 6.608322, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.87731, "energy": 28.322211, "activity_lines": [ 22719.122135, 24020.283842, 23282.917611, 21847.163176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21530.0, "volume": 191022, "typical_volume": 200269.3, "trend": 20063.528874, "fair_value": 11016.362264, "relative_strength": 6.179367, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.665836, "energy": 23.704126, "activity_lines": [ 22100.005078, 23447.706463, 23256.967541, 21959.587248 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21245.0, "volume": 93927, "typical_volume": 193889.75, "trend": 20307.70638, "fair_value": 11095.906316, "relative_strength": 10.167036, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.293372, "energy": 19.997372, "activity_lines": [ 21636.958203, 22867.856356, 23179.4361, 22035.811192 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }