{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b3fadad-8b20-4b0f-ae8a-9bc5804b0df1",
    "symbol": "SALE",
    "name": "Leverage Shares -3x Short Apple (AAPL) ETP Securities",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 5.72,
    "architecture_energy": 14.16,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.936,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.423,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.91,
        "rotation_up": 38.14,
        "upward_expansion": 28.75,
        "deceleration": 47.3,
        "rotation_down": 24.85,
        "downward_expansion": 55.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.206334,
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        21.015809,
        23.280043
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.075001,
    "trend_reference": 26.4435,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061698,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 122.13793,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.770137,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -18.547147,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.047575,
    "excess_performance": -0.003661,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061698,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114368,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.770137,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080577,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.185471,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.399087,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047575,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.689819,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 217,
      "relative_activity": 0.006575,
      "balance": 0.689819,
      "dry_up": 0.736794,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.142599,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.44389,
      "from_high_reference": -0.520904,
      "from_low_reference": 1.246
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.4435,
      "fair_value_reference": 122.13793,
      "structural_low": 12.5,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.111548,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.156304,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.079765,
        "worst_return": -0.14333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.524426,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.578714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.524426,
        "worst_return": -0.524426,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.617013,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.687632,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.617013,
        "worst_return": -0.617013,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": -0.606726,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.192007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.114271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.159497,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.357762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "direction": -84.01348,
        "energy": 90.043764,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.233334,
          26.045455,
          29.180953,
          30.079219
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 17.8,
        "volume": 12456,
        "typical_volume": 17750.6,
        "trend": 30.306667,
        "fair_value": 138.288539,
        "relative_strength": -63.539588,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.432653,
        "energy": 93.067172,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.276667,
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          29.224731
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 17.6,
        "volume": 168535,
        "typical_volume": 25875.95,
        "trend": 29.858333,
        "fair_value": 136.586295,
        "relative_strength": -62.392359,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.770606,
        "energy": 91.274604,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.873334,
          22.204546,
          26.693334,
          28.404946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 17.399999,
        "volume": 2422,
        "typical_volume": 25688.75,
        "trend": 29.376667,
        "fair_value": 134.911936,
        "relative_strength": -61.335527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.209521,
        "energy": 89.957769,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.053333,
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          25.538333,
          27.601183
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.05,
        "volume": 42348,
        "typical_volume": 27778.65,
        "trend": 29.081667,
        "fair_value": 133.403603,
        "relative_strength": -51.899577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.313299,
        "energy": 81.549831,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.843333,
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          27.063979
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 15328,
        "typical_volume": 28442.15,
        "trend": 28.713333,
        "fair_value": 131.899757,
        "relative_strength": -51.222151,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -64.531904,
        "energy": 61.744519,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.393333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 23.999999,
        "volume": 20345,
        "typical_volume": 29262.45,
        "trend": 28.54,
        "fair_value": 130.580846,
        "relative_strength": -41.019886,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.745957,
        "energy": 42.216071,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.116666,
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          23.833095,
          26.193333
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.649999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28933.35,
        "trend": 28.195,
        "fair_value": 129.200077,
        "relative_strength": -55.896743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.985183,
        "energy": 42.690137,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.309999,
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          22.958571,
          25.490753
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 5287,
        "typical_volume": 29082.1,
        "trend": 27.798333,
        "fair_value": 127.828603,
        "relative_strength": -56.952528,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.413119,
        "energy": 55.857245,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.066666,
          19.155454,
          22.031666,
          24.726559
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.349999,
        "volume": 6542,
        "typical_volume": 28988.5,
        "trend": 27.233333,
        "fair_value": 126.495911,
        "relative_strength": -63.847289,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.039699,
        "energy": 72.956242,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.893333,
          18.078181,
          20.892857,
          23.794408
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.65,
        "volume": 69851,
        "typical_volume": 32184.75,
        "trend": 26.691667,
        "fair_value": 125.210013,
        "relative_strength": -62.169625,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.897937,
        "energy": 89.594645,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.333333,
          17.198181,
          19.856666,
          22.918064
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.93,
        "volume": 20664,
        "typical_volume": 33207.0,
        "trend": 26.702667,
        "fair_value": 123.785526,
        "relative_strength": -12.13747,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.374354,
        "energy": 23.266758,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.976666,
          19.564545,
          20.560952,
          23.191505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.075001,
        "volume": 217,
        "typical_volume": 33005.85,
        "trend": 26.4435,
        "fair_value": 122.13793,
        "relative_strength": -18.547147,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.719952,
        "energy": 14.160447,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.206334,
          21.173091,
          21.015809,
          23.280043
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}