{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b4861b8-3b44-460f-8d93-1ab27a0dec91", "symbol": "DGR", "name": "DGR Global Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.411, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.751, "architecture_energy": 45.983, "architecture_maturity": 8.369, "architecture_confidence": 81.572, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.13, "rotation_up": 64.12, "upward_expansion": 47.5, "deceleration": 24.97, "rotation_down": 14.29, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.032733, 0.031018, 0.029767, 0.029983 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.033, "trend_reference": 0.030567, "distance_from_trend": 0.079607, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.018696, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.765129, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.746181, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.064516, "excess_performance": 0.00081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079607, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003261, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.765129, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.320924, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.137462, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153964, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064516, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.981471, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4425037, "relative_activity": 1.70755, "balance": 0.981471, "dry_up": 1.506414, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092075, "annualized_volatility": 0.682287, "from_high_reference": -0.282609, "from_low_reference": 1.75 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.030567, "fair_value_reference": 0.018696, "structural_low": 0.023, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.054932, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.032444, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.434783, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.087719, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.184288, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.375, "worst_return": -0.391304, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.210526, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.258042, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.25, "worst_return": -0.608696, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.508772, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.521206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.375, "worst_return": -0.73913, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.230769, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.130435, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.277778, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.388889, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.114286, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"close": 0.028, "volume": 1802643, "typical_volume": 2675112.8, "trend": 0.031067, "fair_value": 0.018721, "relative_strength": 8.777426, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.214789, "energy": 27.170246, "activity_lines": [ 0.028533, 0.027818, 0.02869, 0.029559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.028, "volume": 2998626, "typical_volume": 2451085.7, "trend": 0.030833, "fair_value": 0.018689, "relative_strength": 7.131896, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.007057, "energy": 18.735418, "activity_lines": [ 0.028533, 0.027891, 0.028533, 0.029361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.034, "volume": 5681079, "typical_volume": 2606400.6, "trend": 0.030833, "fair_value": 0.018696, "relative_strength": 27.910411, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 15.978097, "energy": 19.188258, "activity_lines": [ 0.0302, 0.029055, 0.028957, 0.029566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.035, "volume": 2510472, "typical_volume": 2590962.5, "trend": 0.0307, "fair_value": 0.018708, "relative_strength": 26.288124, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.975141, "energy": 39.25927, "activity_lines": [ 0.032, 0.030291, 0.029457, 0.029834 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.033, "volume": 4425037, "typical_volume": 2591454.35, "trend": 0.030567, "fair_value": 0.018696, "relative_strength": 13.746181, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.750809, "energy": 45.983111, "activity_lines": [ 0.032733, 0.031018, 0.029767, 0.029983 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }