{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b5f7088-c8f7-45bd-94d3-9780e7d467af", "symbol": "ELT", "name": "Elementos Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.061, "architecture_energy": 58.43, "architecture_maturity": 8.984, "architecture_confidence": 71.072, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.39, "rotation_up": 11.08, "upward_expansion": 12.9, "deceleration": 37.9, "rotation_down": 61.94, "downward_expansion": 83.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.346333, 0.358227, 0.372179, 0.377253 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.36, "trend_reference": 0.383917, "distance_from_trend": -0.062297, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.179682, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.003537, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.443731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.063706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062297, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060574, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"typical_volume": 795074.65, "trend": 0.382333, "fair_value": 0.176012, "relative_strength": 3.012244, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.476015, "energy": 44.420458, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.372818, 0.380929, 0.383677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.335, "volume": 1506204, "typical_volume": 789687.75, "trend": 0.382, "fair_value": 0.177102, "relative_strength": 5.201696, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.548499, "energy": 64.949187, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.364273, 0.376429, 0.380624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3525, "volume": 2499136, "typical_volume": 846116.95, "trend": 0.38275, "fair_value": 0.178272, "relative_strength": 6.802872, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.456158, "energy": 65.980415, "activity_lines": [ 0.342167, 0.360364, 0.373857, 0.37872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.36, "volume": 1192373, "typical_volume": 848020.8, "trend": 0.383917, "fair_value": 0.179682, "relative_strength": 4.443731, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.061374, "energy": 58.430366, "activity_lines": [ 0.346333, 0.358227, 0.372179, 0.377253 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }