{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b667b29-26c3-417b-8393-8fcd253b069c", "symbol": "CONL", "name": "GRANITESHARES 2X LONG COIN DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.946, "architecture_energy": 46.721, "architecture_maturity": 96.453, "architecture_confidence": 95.405, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.38, "rotation_up": 22.5, "upward_expansion": 6.46, "deceleration": 48.43, "rotation_down": 57.02, "downward_expansion": 82.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.456667, 4.686545, 5.602143, 6.270946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.38, "trend_reference": 7.406333, "distance_from_trend": -0.408614, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.556492, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.84662, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -77.708058, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.388268, "excess_performance": -0.575722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.408614, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.407399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.84662, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150625, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.777081, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0651, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.388268, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.621216, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107726676, "relative_activity": 1.109482, "balance": 0.621216, "dry_up": 0.98403, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.370968, "annualized_volatility": 1.247556, "from_high_reference": -0.916412, "from_low_reference": 0.230337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.406333, "fair_value_reference": 28.556492, "structural_low": 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5.108667, 6.066727, 6.909762, 7.875376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 5.4, "volume": 85921656, "typical_volume": 99067371.5, "trend": 9.533333, "fair_value": 28.886529, "relative_strength": -78.315115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.043141, "energy": 57.162214, "activity_lines": [ 5.084, 5.803636, 6.725, 7.574581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.95, "volume": 79790298, "typical_volume": 99140797.35, "trend": 9.003333, "fair_value": 28.804296, "relative_strength": -79.417354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.307052, "energy": 47.296804, "activity_lines": [ 5.049333, 5.521455, 6.50419, 7.278882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.8, "volume": 86231480, "typical_volume": 98401537.2, "trend": 8.585, "fair_value": 28.728839, "relative_strength": -77.774961, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.830887, "energy": 48.550064, "activity_lines": [ 4.954667, 5.268182, 6.280762, 7.007699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.8, "volume": 84447370, "typical_volume": 96115831.3, "trend": 8.207, "fair_value": 28.663424, "relative_strength": -76.043336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.028464, "energy": 43.5898, "activity_lines": [ 4.887333, 5.088, 6.070762, 6.763505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.0, "volume": 103777351, "typical_volume": 96127257.8, "trend": 7.807667, "fair_value": 28.604007, "relative_strength": -79.369863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.8217, "energy": 47.828253, "activity_lines": [ 4.593333, 4.823273, 5.806143, 6.492086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.38, "volume": 107726676, "typical_volume": 97096347.45, "trend": 7.406333, "fair_value": 28.556492, "relative_strength": -77.708058, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.946244, "energy": 46.721449, "activity_lines": [ 4.456667, 4.686545, 5.602143, 6.270946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }