{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b73c8a3-f73b-4a1a-b23a-63d68273df3c",
    "symbol": "CEU2",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Core MSCI Europe UCITS ETF DR",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.981,
    "architecture_energy": 76.078,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.743,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.989,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 63.79,
        "upward_expansion": 88.86,
        "deceleration": 50.75,
        "rotation_down": 22.7,
        "downward_expansion": 15.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        121.816366,
        119.90418
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 126.779999,
    "trend_reference": 117.910767,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07522,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 99.215849,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27782,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.640144,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.094507,
    "excess_performance": 0.041195,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07522,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040657,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27782,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065147,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046401,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012458,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094507,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.363331,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 45407,
      "relative_activity": 0.388123,
      "balance": 1.363331,
      "dry_up": 1.002016,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018616,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.149316,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004241,
      "from_low_reference": 0.247025
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 99.215849,
      "structural_low": 105.573997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.010107,
        "positive_rate": 0.589744,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.589744,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00164,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.074326,
        "worst_return": -0.057724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "worst_return": -0.032978,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.115367,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.051649,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 7.284421,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 124453.25,
        "trend": 116.6416,
        "fair_value": 98.38806,
        "relative_strength": 6.941595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.9044,
        "energy": 78.822343,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 123.900002,
        "volume": 114650,
        "typical_volume": 120248.95,
        "trend": 117.081933,
        "fair_value": 98.647855,
        "relative_strength": 6.865752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.00666,
        "energy": 76.27719,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 124.559998,
        "volume": 172181,
        "typical_volume": 122989.65,
        "trend": 117.5014,
        "fair_value": 98.925156,
        "relative_strength": 5.486346,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.090927,
        "energy": 60.42042,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 126.779999,
        "volume": 45407,
        "typical_volume": 116991.35,
        "trend": 117.910767,
        "fair_value": 99.215849,
        "relative_strength": 4.640144,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.980666,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}