{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b778a57-1ce4-4930-a630-6d37ac2a6067", "symbol": "RMR", "name": "RMR Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.048, "architecture_energy": 20.329, "architecture_maturity": 67.965, "architecture_confidence": 87.662, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.01, "rotation_up": 20.78, "upward_expansion": 53.85, "deceleration": 93.76, "rotation_down": 27.66, "downward_expansion": 19.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.59156, 19.863454, 19.677895, 18.910569 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 19.45, "trend_reference": 17.909627, "distance_from_trend": 0.086008, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.618217, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.413994, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.135108, "excess_performance": -0.052346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086008, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111623, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03414, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072466, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135108, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.105205, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1157256, "relative_activity": 1.483186, "balance": 1.105205, "dry_up": 1.18543, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055148, "annualized_volatility": 0.304242, "from_high_reference": -0.091121, "from_low_reference": 0.48299 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.909627, "fair_value_reference": 17.618217, "structural_low": 14.798356, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.016097, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.029279, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.032554, "worst_return": -0.114571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.064959, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.077748, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.02929, "worst_return": -0.199249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.042821, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.0632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021137, "worst_return": -0.096618, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.824582, "energy": 45.013612, "activity_lines": [ 20.201192, 20.231647, 19.211448, 18.353033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.183363, "volume": 1023228, "typical_volume": 749696.45, "trend": 17.427042, "fair_value": 17.590398, "relative_strength": 11.956745, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.219817, "energy": 41.167668, "activity_lines": [ 20.137077, 20.234648, 19.403646, 18.543548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.02, "volume": 751653, "typical_volume": 744897.4, "trend": 17.618264, "fair_value": 17.601559, "relative_strength": 12.702632, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.718324, "energy": 35.463291, "activity_lines": [ 20.097616, 20.208796, 19.560114, 18.710836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.04, "volume": 767591, "typical_volume": 746128.55, "trend": 17.775873, "fair_value": 17.609071, "relative_strength": 6.483174, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.654298, "energy": 25.888816, "activity_lines": [ 19.729994, 19.988216, 19.607238, 18.802561 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.45, "volume": 1157256, "typical_volume": 780250.3, "trend": 17.909627, "fair_value": 17.618217, "relative_strength": 3.413994, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.048157, "energy": 20.329039, "activity_lines": [ 19.59156, 19.863454, 19.677895, 18.910569 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }