{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b7dbf8d-4296-477a-bca5-172024d27e33", "symbol": "SHREECEM", "name": "Shree Cement Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 63.375, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 30.065, "architecture_energy": 30.747, "architecture_maturity": 11.824, "architecture_confidence": 45.634, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.05, "rotation_up": 51.75, "upward_expansion": 50.38, "deceleration": 35.24, "rotation_down": 25.51, "downward_expansion": 11.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 26312.39987, 26150.577912, 25627.994457, 25384.700832 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26010.0, "trend_reference": 25430.240169, "distance_from_trend": 0.022798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26747.982772, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.02759, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.289771, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.048299, "excess_performance": -0.004589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010041, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.02759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017563, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012898, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039512, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.048299, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.47054, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 105628, "relative_activity": 1.110065, "balance": 0.47054, "dry_up": 1.12606, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040767, "annualized_volatility": 0.23327, "from_high_reference": -0.182841, "from_low_reference": 0.153437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25430.240169, "fair_value_reference": 26747.982772, "structural_low": 22550.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.042391, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.045785, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.005588, "worst_return": -0.103773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.045255, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.011565, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.086618, "worst_return": -0.056357, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.030333, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.025159, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.193353, "worst_return": -0.063508, 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26563.832943, 25970.385369, 25412.42022, 25302.828595 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26210.0, "volume": 156423, "typical_volume": 96164.85, "trend": 25461.573503, "fair_value": 26734.219739, "relative_strength": -0.101422, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.452003, "energy": 53.983717, "activity_lines": [ 26489.507031, 26091.618004, 25537.457338, 25349.318477 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26010.0, "volume": 105628, "typical_volume": 95154.75, "trend": 25430.240169, "fair_value": 26747.982772, "relative_strength": -1.289771, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.064693, "energy": 30.746541, "activity_lines": [ 26312.39987, 26150.577912, 25627.994457, 25384.700832 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }