{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b8245e1-9cb3-4c8b-b1a9-e29848c7e535", "symbol": "ICICIBANK", "name": "ICICI Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.891, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.744, "architecture_energy": 73.087, "architecture_maturity": 7.093, "architecture_confidence": 79.437, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.19, "rotation_up": 73.51, "upward_expansion": 92.08, "deceleration": 44.18, "rotation_down": 11.92, "downward_expansion": 16.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 1421.020003, 1405.1212, 1359.519045, 1342.466742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1421.0, "trend_reference": 1335.944454, "distance_from_trend": 0.063667, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1234.03883, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151503, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.518226, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.010597, "excess_performance": 0.054306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063667, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003167, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151503, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096523, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.055182, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105169, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010597, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.738902, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60239521, "relative_activity": 0.981853, "balance": 0.738902, "dry_up": 1.037765, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031986, "annualized_volatility": 0.206775, "from_high_reference": -0.03177, "from_low_reference": 0.196531 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1335.944454, "fair_value_reference": 1234.03883, "structural_low": 1187.599976, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.006785, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.013351, "regime_survival": 0.742857, "best_return": 0.158446, "worst_return": -0.099557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.043874, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.004213, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.165125, "worst_return": -0.070665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.062536, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.044214, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.245905, "worst_return": -0.043831, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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1227.88586, "relative_strength": 9.012112, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.54862, "energy": 71.321576, "activity_lines": [ 1412.577751, 1381.753314, 1339.1146, 1331.118928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1423.400024, "volume": 63844288, "typical_volume": 62783347.45, "trend": 1335.387789, "fair_value": 1230.939364, "relative_strength": 6.48288, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.127205, "energy": 79.827872, "activity_lines": [ 1418.395548, 1395.101804, 1349.832537, 1336.943373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1421.0, "volume": 60239521, "typical_volume": 61352882.0, "trend": 1335.944454, "fair_value": 1234.03883, "relative_strength": 5.518226, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.743698, "energy": 73.086628, "activity_lines": [ 1421.020003, 1405.1212, 1359.519045, 1342.466742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }