{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b82c2aa-bad8-40be-b2bd-6e4e51d20690",
    "symbol": "HLNE",
    "name": "Hamilton Lane Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 74.104,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 11.209,
    "architecture_energy": 18.642,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.581,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.2,
        "rotation_up": 39.3,
        "upward_expansion": 30.53,
        "deceleration": 49.87,
        "rotation_down": 14.24,
        "downward_expansion": 41.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        90.870667,
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        89.797163
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 101.03,
    "trend_reference": 98.589429,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024755,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 124.073648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185726,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.936857,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.223208,
    "excess_performance": -0.410661,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024755,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135273,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.185726,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097754,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229369,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.206322,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.223208,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.978504,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5005675,
      "relative_activity": 1.15389,
      "balance": 0.978504,
      "dry_up": 0.892903,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09197,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.481411,
      "from_high_reference": -0.36015,
      "from_low_reference": 0.405537
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 98.589429,
      "fair_value_reference": 124.073648,
      "structural_low": 71.88,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.014441,
        "positive_rate": 0.65,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.35,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01074,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.123018,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.12932,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.312754,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 123.974117,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 36.31394,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 83.16,
        "volume": 3044752,
        "typical_volume": 4303191.9,
        "trend": 101.635447,
        "fair_value": 123.979036,
        "relative_strength": -34.756087,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.169754,
        "energy": 30.19172,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 88.91,
        "volume": 4181838,
        "typical_volume": 4255456.45,
        "trend": 100.101171,
        "fair_value": 123.991516,
        "relative_strength": -29.65882,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.988713,
        "energy": 19.478562,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.112,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 101.03,
        "volume": 5005675,
        "typical_volume": 4338088.1,
        "trend": 98.589429,
        "fair_value": 124.073648,
        "relative_strength": -22.936857,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 11.208891,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}