{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7b918ebe-8e6f-43a6-bcf0-c8654d44c46f", "symbol": "9944", "name": "Shinih Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 68.982, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.857, "architecture_energy": 35.819, "architecture_maturity": 51.858, "architecture_confidence": 45.049, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.49, "rotation_up": 42.04, "upward_expansion": 66.45, "deceleration": 64.58, "rotation_down": 24.8, "downward_expansion": 16.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.726667, 17.73929, 17.389122, 17.110813 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.700001, "trend_reference": 16.82014, "distance_from_trend": 0.05231, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.272917, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031353, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.89086, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.07478, "excess_performance": -0.366592, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05231, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022065, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.031353, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065025, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.248909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076481, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07478, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.379647, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 249247, "relative_activity": 0.759768, "balance": 2.379647, "dry_up": 0.684077, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032531, "annualized_volatility": 0.092303, "from_high_reference": -0.043243, "from_low_reference": 0.128688 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.82014, "fair_value_reference": 18.272917, "structural_low": 15.681932, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.010352, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.025492, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.097727, "worst_return": -0.124736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.027566, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.026603, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.124694, "worst_return": -0.068811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.007299, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.123844, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.047303, "worst_return": -0.101869, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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17.846667, 17.694951, 17.250939, 16.997379 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.6, "volume": 149118, "typical_volume": 325866.2, "trend": 16.785644, "fair_value": 18.286611, "relative_strength": -23.528914, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.379693, "energy": 44.541215, "activity_lines": [ 17.756667, 17.715187, 17.319016, 17.051823 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.700001, "volume": 249247, "typical_volume": 328056.8, "trend": 16.82014, "fair_value": 18.272917, "relative_strength": -24.89086, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.856763, "energy": 35.81881, "activity_lines": [ 17.726667, 17.73929, 17.389122, 17.110813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }