{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7b9ae34d-b757-4991-9b6a-d669db9fd073",
    "symbol": "ENSG",
    "name": "The Ensign Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 70.078,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -9.562,
    "architecture_energy": 18.452,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.988,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.314,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.37,
        "rotation_up": 41.52,
        "upward_expansion": 22.4,
        "deceleration": 40.97,
        "rotation_down": 14.55,
        "downward_expansion": 51.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        177.174,
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        171.978755,
        177.815892
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 182.97,
    "trend_reference": 183.864167,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.004863,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 145.327281,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25902,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.821228,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.074676,
    "excess_performance": -0.26213,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004863,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019234,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25902,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025665,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118212,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069444,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074676,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.009844,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1675156,
      "relative_activity": 0.520915,
      "balance": 3.009844,
      "dry_up": 0.715628,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065393,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.304793,
      "from_high_reference": -0.160417,
      "from_low_reference": 0.292868
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 145.327281,
      "structural_low": 141.522614,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.003175,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033615,
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        "worst_return": -0.083951,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.012973,
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        "worst_return": -0.054741,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.000104,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3125714.8,
        "trend": 183.526673,
        "fair_value": 143.741075,
        "relative_strength": -14.486429,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -40.870977,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 172.99,
        "volume": 2047988,
        "typical_volume": 3162672.15,
        "trend": 183.415762,
        "fair_value": 144.256447,
        "relative_strength": -12.156396,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.359824,
        "energy": 23.832303,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 178.16,
        "volume": 2989325,
        "typical_volume": 3230900.25,
        "trend": 183.558965,
        "fair_value": 144.780147,
        "relative_strength": -9.930807,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.116689,
        "energy": 22.483617,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.466667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 182.97,
        "volume": 1675156,
        "typical_volume": 3215793.4,
        "trend": 183.864167,
        "fair_value": 145.327281,
        "relative_strength": -11.821228,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.562424,
        "energy": 18.451533,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}