{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ba09833-dba7-4165-8676-c8a95a98ee0b", "symbol": "000709", "name": "HBIS Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.499, "architecture_energy": 25.265, "architecture_maturity": 90.25, "architecture_confidence": 84.522, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.79, "rotation_up": 28.26, "upward_expansion": 16.98, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 27.06, "downward_expansion": 64.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.088971, 2.050052, 2.110213, 2.185305 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.13, "trend_reference": 2.279606, "distance_from_trend": -0.065628, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.190404, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027577, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.563844, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.151394, "excess_performance": -0.158794, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065628, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046722, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027577, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125638, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064458, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.151394, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.763522, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 477240183, "relative_activity": 1.234429, "balance": 0.763522, "dry_up": 1.227978, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053445, "annualized_volatility": 0.296106, "from_high_reference": -0.216912, "from_low_reference": 0.136837 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.279606, "fair_value_reference": 2.190404, "structural_low": 1.873619, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.025986, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.258286, "worst_return": -0.137817, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.026087, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.019637, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.119213, "worst_return": -0.081545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.041074, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.034447, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.145162, "worst_return": -0.078079, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.191281, "relative_strength": -16.142435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.186219, "energy": 83.794368, "activity_lines": [ 1.969099, 2.028862, 2.13914, 2.220841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.06, "volume": 501473717, "typical_volume": 425970691.95, "trend": 2.29294, "fair_value": 2.19073, "relative_strength": -13.454646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.384411, "energy": 56.722611, "activity_lines": [ 1.997219, 2.024168, 2.122291, 2.205211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.14, "volume": 425841812, "typical_volume": 405982608.15, "trend": 2.285606, "fair_value": 2.190631, "relative_strength": -8.129354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.255005, "energy": 40.447985, "activity_lines": [ 2.052006, 2.037474, 2.115538, 2.195344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.13, "volume": 477240183, "typical_volume": 386608144.7, "trend": 2.279606, "fair_value": 2.190404, "relative_strength": -12.563844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.499073, "energy": 25.264622, "activity_lines": [ 2.088971, 2.050052, 2.110213, 2.185305 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }