{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ba7d4ea-167b-4518-9d4b-adc7fafb60a2", "symbol": "1210", "name": "Great Wall Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 60.979, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.844, "architecture_energy": 20.869, "architecture_maturity": 61.343, "architecture_confidence": 72.003, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.53, "rotation_up": 32.72, "upward_expansion": 64.11, "deceleration": 85.24, "rotation_down": 25.61, "downward_expansion": 14.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.882683, 53.260614, 52.471994, 51.881766 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.900002, "trend_reference": 51.011994, "distance_from_trend": 0.017408, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.91851, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.039695, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.690377, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078247, "excess_performance": -0.363125, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017408, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028152, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.039695, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026488, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.266904, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086106, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078247, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.748168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15160936, "relative_activity": 1.042305, "balance": 1.748168, "dry_up": 0.966099, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040155, "annualized_volatility": 0.126213, "from_high_reference": -0.082228, "from_low_reference": 0.093282 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.011994, "fair_value_reference": 49.91851, "structural_low": 47.471739, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.006945, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.017403, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.147224, "worst_return": -0.132541, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.038462, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.023989, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.145684, "worst_return": -0.128885, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.001748, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.04979, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.115367, "worst_return": -0.193784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 49.91851, "relative_strength": -26.690377, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.844427, "energy": 20.868944, "activity_lines": [ 52.882683, 53.260614, 52.471994, 51.881766 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }