{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ba988c6-9398-44e5-a588-fcb5e8726a1f", "symbol": "AMAD", "name": "Amadeus IT Group, S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 49.926, "architecture_energy": 55.301, "architecture_maturity": 10.059, "architecture_confidence": 54.404, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.77, "rotation_up": 60.22, "upward_expansion": 49.43, "deceleration": 30.05, "rotation_down": 22.66, "downward_expansion": 28.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.389334, 52.210165, 51.668742, 51.477448 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 57.139999, "trend_reference": 51.910392, "distance_from_trend": 0.100743, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.20004, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.06634, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.726018, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.092543, "excess_performance": -0.081704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100743, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068359, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.06634, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104767, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20726, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104101, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092543, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040404, "annualized_volatility": 0.334948, "from_high_reference": -0.20985, "from_low_reference": 0.227234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.910392, "fair_value_reference": 61.20004, "structural_low": 46.560001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.001829, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.002271, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.088182, "worst_return": -0.073398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.00378, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.013002, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.121431, "worst_return": -0.106916, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.072899, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.140581, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.203829, "worst_return": 0.04576, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"activity_lines": [ 51.016443, 51.12234, 50.93222, 51.845819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 51.200001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.45, "trend": 53.661532, "fair_value": 61.5672, "relative_strength": -32.487537, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.333292, "energy": 23.044087, "activity_lines": [ 50.874602, 51.179036, 50.967783, 51.666084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 51.080002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.45, "trend": 53.292189, "fair_value": 61.487682, "relative_strength": -30.87616, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.461945, "energy": 18.835005, "activity_lines": [ 50.892091, 51.194277, 50.984013, 51.499534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.740002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33.45, "trend": 52.871569, "fair_value": 61.397007, "relative_strength": -30.491322, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.538118, "energy": 24.14277, "activity_lines": [ 50.574827, 50.910318, 50.861243, 51.270361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.66, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 52.452248, "fair_value": 61.29751, "relative_strength": -30.651035, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.698607, "energy": 30.937648, "activity_lines": [ 50.24916, 50.645311, 50.74714, 51.063163 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 52.166327, "fair_value": 61.225192, "relative_strength": -23.81898, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.723514, "energy": 2.044782, "activity_lines": [ 51.381335, 51.161213, 51.057417, 51.156566 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.5, "trend": 51.910392, "fair_value": 61.20004, "relative_strength": -20.726018, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.926229, "energy": 55.301026, "activity_lines": [ 53.389334, 52.210165, 51.668742, 51.477448 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }