{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7bcd943f-a41d-4e0c-ae1e-0b57f084282f", "symbol": "PLRZ", "name": "Polyrizon Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.233, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.17, "architecture_energy": 30.426, "architecture_maturity": 29.516, "architecture_confidence": 87.625, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.25, "rotation_up": 23.43, "upward_expansion": 11.45, "deceleration": 35.91, "rotation_down": 48.2, "downward_expansion": 75.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.565333, 12.852, 13.4325, 13.458269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 11.59, "trend_reference": 13.539, "distance_from_trend": -0.143955, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 444.293271, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.973914, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.381565, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.097703, "excess_performance": -0.285157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143955, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117741, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.973914, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005685, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063816, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.588117, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.097703, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.433841, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 369940, "relative_activity": 1.607906, "balance": 1.433841, "dry_up": 1.378107, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.296172, "annualized_volatility": 0.962238, "from_high_reference": -0.363187, "from_low_reference": 3.024306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.539, "fair_value_reference": 444.293271, "structural_low": 9.51, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.053694, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051959, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.316262, "worst_return": -0.208874, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"typical_volume": 200195.5, "trend": 13.278, "fair_value": 463.689148, "relative_strength": 21.011986, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.821219, "energy": 10.555825, "activity_lines": [ 13.390667, 13.610818, 13.785548, 13.649043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.42, "volume": 186156, "typical_volume": 197792.05, "trend": 13.411, "fair_value": 458.686158, "relative_strength": 14.529961, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.605678, "energy": 10.180412, "activity_lines": [ 13.565333, 13.486545, 13.765952, 13.658204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.68, "volume": 326356, "typical_volume": 206311.1, "trend": 13.629, "fair_value": 453.806969, "relative_strength": 26.581716, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.678234, "energy": 17.989826, "activity_lines": [ 14.007333, 13.644455, 13.861929, 13.740075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.25, "volume": 385824, "typical_volume": 217445.5, "trend": 13.579, "fair_value": 448.996567, "relative_strength": -4.014579, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.846451, "energy": 3.518027, "activity_lines": [ 13.222, 13.180909, 13.623762, 13.586591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.59, "volume": 369940, "typical_volume": 230075.7, "trend": 13.539, "fair_value": 444.293271, "relative_strength": -6.381565, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.170009, "energy": 30.426419, "activity_lines": [ 12.565333, 12.852, 13.4325, 13.458269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }