{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7bce795b-c4e2-4257-b382-07c43ff09c04", "symbol": "MTRE3", "name": "Mitre Realty Empreendimentos e Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.699, "architecture_energy": 87.21, "architecture_maturity": 30.063, "architecture_confidence": 84.867, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 9.08, "upward_expansion": 21.5, "deceleration": 37.21, "rotation_down": 79.98, "downward_expansion": 97.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.943302, 3.066384, 3.250023, 3.379962 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.92, "trend_reference": 3.542769, "distance_from_trend": -0.175786, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.383283, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136933, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.802705, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.240082, "excess_performance": -0.183033, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175786, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02836, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.136933, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148903, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.198027, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037628, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.240082, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.711597, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3803800, "relative_activity": 1.561405, "balance": 0.711597, "dry_up": 1.693642, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064024, "annualized_volatility": 0.25911, "from_high_reference": -0.310444, "from_low_reference": 0.039146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.542769, "fair_value_reference": 3.383283, "structural_low": 2.81, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.009924, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.001008, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.516064, "worst_return": -0.192424, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.023892, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.054912, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.826178, "worst_return": -0.326455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.062351, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.051071, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.669282, "worst_return": -0.370338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.053394, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.069993, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06044, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.009998, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.115979, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.090121, "active": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.02846, "energy": 71.021189, "activity_lines": [ 3.296891, 3.352865, 3.467017, 3.553986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.95, "volume": 7009500, "typical_volume": 2437810.0, "trend": 3.607879, "fair_value": 3.426155, "relative_strength": -21.330534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.70272, "energy": 83.950126, "activity_lines": [ 3.181041, 3.270768, 3.409047, 3.510525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.93, "volume": 2877500, "typical_volume": 2382270.0, "trend": 3.58878, "fair_value": 3.413092, "relative_strength": -21.381413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.542446, "energy": 88.713505, "activity_lines": [ 3.082486, 3.195836, 3.354076, 3.46679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.89, "volume": 2813000, "typical_volume": 2382715.0, "trend": 3.567053, "fair_value": 3.396916, "relative_strength": -23.553163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.222477, "energy": 89.574355, "activity_lines": [ 2.993913, 3.122665, 3.298801, 3.421708 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.92, "volume": 3803800, "typical_volume": 2436140.0, "trend": 3.542769, "fair_value": 3.383283, "relative_strength": -19.802705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.699365, "energy": 87.210431, "activity_lines": [ 2.943302, 3.066384, 3.250023, 3.379962 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }