{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7bd4bc16-748f-4bb0-8af9-4b5b09dfecd7",
    "symbol": "601163",
    "name": "Triangle Tyre Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -44.723,
    "architecture_energy": 34.587,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.193,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.153,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.77,
        "rotation_up": 26.06,
        "upward_expansion": 16.84,
        "deceleration": 66.78,
        "rotation_down": 36.7,
        "downward_expansion": 64.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.972667,
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        13.600961
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.23,
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    "distance_from_trend": -0.060333,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.165651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.066051,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.065776,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.143689,
    "excess_performance": -0.100485,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060333,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041301,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066051,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103232,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060658,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005684,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143689,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.687821,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18426883,
      "relative_activity": 1.068951,
      "balance": 0.687821,
      "dry_up": 1.223408,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048342,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.213315,
      "from_high_reference": -0.22541,
      "from_low_reference": 0.081045
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 14.165651,
      "structural_low": 12.238154,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.001452,
        "positive_rate": 0.52,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.48,
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        "worst_return": -0.120915,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.13225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 18185381.25,
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        "fair_value": 14.20374,
        "relative_strength": -8.157467,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.528008,
        "energy": 72.020911,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.51,
        "volume": 22945850,
        "typical_volume": 17699411.65,
        "trend": 14.155788,
        "fair_value": 14.192639,
        "relative_strength": -8.754271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.091808,
        "energy": 57.103978,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.26,
        "volume": 19316844,
        "typical_volume": 17247112.45,
        "trend": 14.114788,
        "fair_value": 14.179043,
        "relative_strength": -3.496184,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.496246,
        "energy": 42.428041,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.827374,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.23,
        "volume": 18426883,
        "typical_volume": 17238281.65,
        "trend": 14.079454,
        "fair_value": 14.165651,
        "relative_strength": -6.065776,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.722729,
        "energy": 34.586951,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}