{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7be32652-2682-4811-8287-fb00dc7b2e6b", "symbol": "LALIN", "name": "Lalin Property Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.643, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.165, "architecture_energy": 26.692, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.011, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.75, "rotation_up": 37.3, "upward_expansion": 18.91, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 17.87, "downward_expansion": 52.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.396, 4.368727, 4.371143, 4.411753 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4.4, "trend_reference": 4.46746, "distance_from_trend": -0.0151, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.497056, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.199572, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.836886, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.039994, "excess_performance": -0.232319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0151, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.199572, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033751, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.178369, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013058, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039994, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7922, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 145700, "relative_activity": 0.758499, "balance": 0.7922, "dry_up": 0.995757, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013636, "annualized_volatility": 0.076112, "from_high_reference": -0.116422, "from_low_reference": 0.032864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.46746, "fair_value_reference": 5.497056, "structural_low": 4.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.00905, "positive_rate": 0.393939, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": -0.008958, "regime_survival": 0.878788, "best_return": 0.100831, "worst_return": -0.095891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.018405, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.039495, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.060842, "worst_return": -0.171233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.040309, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.066749, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.063309, "worst_return": -0.153505, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -20.167289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.236564, "energy": 36.411044, "activity_lines": [ 4.352, 4.339273, 4.377174, 4.427759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.42, "volume": 139000, "typical_volume": 208755.0, "trend": 4.48357, "fair_value": 5.533862, "relative_strength": -19.893419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.81996, "energy": 29.118678, "activity_lines": [ 4.382667, 4.353455, 4.376197, 4.423223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.38, "volume": 135700, "typical_volume": 206160.0, "trend": 4.474215, "fair_value": 5.515528, "relative_strength": -19.218938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.472719, "energy": 26.579464, "activity_lines": [ 4.389333, 4.359273, 4.372095, 4.416541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.4, "volume": 145700, "typical_volume": 192090.0, "trend": 4.46746, "fair_value": 5.497056, "relative_strength": -17.836886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.165366, "energy": 26.691677, "activity_lines": [ 4.396, 4.368727, 4.371143, 4.411753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }