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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.991, "architecture_energy": 59.498, "architecture_maturity": 31.447, "architecture_confidence": 74.99, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 62.33, "upward_expansion": 82.28, "deceleration": 55.64, "rotation_down": 20.59, "downward_expansion": 8.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 16320.0, 16125.090909, 15529.166667, 15162.225806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17015.0, "trend_reference": 14880.333333, "distance_from_trend": 0.143456, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12063.234413, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.410484, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.200234, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.154342, "excess_performance": -0.075487, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.143456, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050606, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.410484, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156059, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.042002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.384186, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.154342, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.586956, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5421, "relative_activity": 0.373924, "balance": 1.586956, "dry_up": 1.071264, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044847, "annualized_volatility": 0.307772, "from_high_reference": -0.004389, "from_low_reference": 0.448853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14880.333333, "fair_value_reference": 12063.234413, 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14917.16129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16315.0, "volume": 20542, "typical_volume": 14666.35, "trend": 14805.333333, "fair_value": 12014.438815, "relative_strength": -13.48404, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.488859, "energy": 48.68154, "activity_lines": [ 15991.666667, 15883.545455, 15316.214286, 15019.666667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17015.0, "volume": 5421, "typical_volume": 14497.6, "trend": 14880.333333, "fair_value": 12063.234413, "relative_strength": -4.200234, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.990848, "energy": 59.497562, "activity_lines": [ 16320.0, 16125.090909, 15529.166667, 15162.225806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }