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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.436, "architecture_energy": 28.867, "architecture_maturity": 47.928, "architecture_confidence": 58.835, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.78, "rotation_up": 38.97, "upward_expansion": 61.97, "deceleration": 67.77, "rotation_down": 22.69, "downward_expansion": 14.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.15218, 80.170655, 78.5078, 77.693136 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 80.120003, "trend_reference": 76.893959, "distance_from_trend": 0.041954, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 76.209157, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.608969, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.00821, "excess_performance": -0.056429, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041954, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057561, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.051317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054281, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01609, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010557, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.00821, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.996581, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3500, "relative_activity": 1.531662, "balance": 0.996581, "dry_up": 1.345346, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044337, "annualized_volatility": 0.206152, "from_high_reference": -0.044659, "from_low_reference": 0.259741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.893959, "fair_value_reference": 76.209157, "structural_low": 69.540001, 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79.993837, 78.158908, 77.458274 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.120003, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": 2285.1, "trend": 76.893959, "fair_value": 76.209157, "relative_strength": 1.608969, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.435954, "energy": 28.866532, "activity_lines": [ 80.15218, 80.170655, 78.5078, 77.693136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }