{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7bf5c69e-cd4a-4d53-ae8d-fc04c7409004", "symbol": "SOF-B", "name": "Softronic AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.559, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.219, "architecture_energy": 64.048, "architecture_maturity": 11.951, "architecture_confidence": 74.053, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.93, "rotation_up": 66.34, "upward_expansion": 86.28, "deceleration": 46.58, "rotation_down": 13.61, "downward_expansion": 12.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.433333, 22.17, 21.983489, 21.625004 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.75, "trend_reference": 21.174919, "distance_from_trend": 0.074384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.638531, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.976565, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.149064, "excess_performance": 0.087569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074384, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158437, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004619, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.049766, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010192, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.149064, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.499098, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78362, "relative_activity": 0.785002, "balance": 1.499098, "dry_up": 0.980371, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034996, "annualized_volatility": 0.141493, "from_high_reference": -0.042447, "from_low_reference": 0.197535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.174919, "fair_value_reference": 19.638531, "structural_low": 18.997352, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.009071, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.018822, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.219819, "worst_return": -0.09626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.043388, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.046321, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.197651, "worst_return": -0.125436, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.040069, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.016521, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.188017, "worst_return": -0.174278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 21.683333, 21.750909, 21.571974, 21.251885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.75, "volume": 122000, "typical_volume": 106026.8, "trend": 21.001405, "fair_value": 19.455286, "relative_strength": -1.286873, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.320102, "energy": 37.605624, "activity_lines": [ 22.033333, 21.920909, 21.719309, 21.370132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.950001, "volume": 119013, "typical_volume": 104038.05, "trend": 21.046402, "fair_value": 19.515548, "relative_strength": -5.929892, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.695415, "energy": 31.808215, "activity_lines": [ 22.056667, 21.931818, 21.778645, 21.431332 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.4, "volume": 72083, "typical_volume": 102057.7, "trend": 21.101684, "fair_value": 19.575811, "relative_strength": -4.932388, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.455768, "energy": 47.769428, "activity_lines": [ 22.213333, 22.023636, 21.870369, 21.518661 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.75, "volume": 78362, "typical_volume": 99823.9, "trend": 21.174919, "fair_value": 19.638531, "relative_strength": -4.976565, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.218815, "energy": 64.048301, "activity_lines": [ 22.433333, 22.17, 21.983489, 21.625004 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }