{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c133419-b1a4-4187-940b-da8dedd6883f", "symbol": "GENTERA", "name": "Gentera, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.248, "architecture_energy": 28.156, "architecture_maturity": 59.423, "architecture_confidence": 77.478, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.75, "rotation_up": 27.01, "upward_expansion": 16.41, "deceleration": 45.36, "rotation_down": 26.06, "downward_expansion": 59.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.299334, 39.770364, 41.032051, 42.6875 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 40.970001, "trend_reference": 44.753315, "distance_from_trend": -0.084537, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.326973, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307819, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.368727, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.202608, "excess_performance": -0.147941, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084537, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031201, "read": "Falling" 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36.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.053977, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.066862, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.116754, "worst_return": -0.000474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.252372, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.275112, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.252372, "worst_return": 0.252372, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.352941, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.357348, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.352941, "worst_return": 0.352941, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"fair_value": 31.056945, "relative_strength": -11.745071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.277525, "energy": 37.588519, "activity_lines": [ 39.677334, 39.480909, 41.55029, 43.25878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.150002, "volume": 28252084, "typical_volume": 16336293.0, "trend": 44.918422, "fair_value": 31.191606, "relative_strength": -11.416699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.320617, "energy": 31.409319, "activity_lines": [ 39.915334, 39.52491, 41.237865, 42.942237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.970001, "volume": 15219319, "typical_volume": 16478508.95, "trend": 44.753315, "fair_value": 31.326973, "relative_strength": -9.368727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.247579, "energy": 28.156217, "activity_lines": [ 40.299334, 39.770364, 41.032051, 42.6875 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }