{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c1f677d-a6ad-4871-a794-43813a239aa1", "symbol": "CFW", "name": "Calfrac Well Services Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.61, "architecture_energy": 33.275, "architecture_maturity": 34.771, "architecture_confidence": 79.33, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.65, "rotation_up": 47.62, "upward_expansion": 73.97, "deceleration": 61.27, "rotation_down": 20.65, "downward_expansion": 2.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.432, 6.38, 6.229095, 6.094 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.67, "trend_reference": 5.869, "distance_from_trend": 0.13648, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.420064, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.509028, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.304873, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.28023, "excess_performance": 0.159809, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.13648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187656, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.509028, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262247, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.243049, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090361, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.28023, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.714423, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173100, "relative_activity": 0.530729, "balance": 1.714423, "dry_up": 0.812114, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092954, "annualized_volatility": 0.492705, "from_high_reference": -0.023426, "from_low_reference": 1.208609 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.869, "fair_value_reference": 4.420064, "structural_low": 4.8, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"gate": "up", "direction": 50.989357, "energy": 30.819173, "activity_lines": [ 6.291333, 6.257636, 6.074524, 5.901398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.35, "volume": 303400, "typical_volume": 358455.0, "trend": 5.640333, "fair_value": 4.399295, "relative_strength": 23.991331, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.113645, "energy": 26.417474, "activity_lines": [ 6.286, 6.296182, 6.113429, 5.953333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.36, "volume": 236500, "typical_volume": 361820.0, "trend": 5.714, "fair_value": 4.406859, "relative_strength": 23.227294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.13832, "energy": 23.070413, "activity_lines": [ 6.306, 6.317818, 6.149952, 5.999763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.29, "volume": 346500, "typical_volume": 357210.0, "trend": 5.785333, "fair_value": 4.413141, "relative_strength": 21.80448, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.782115, "energy": 21.995807, "activity_lines": [ 6.298667, 6.316727, 6.174619, 6.036925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.67, "volume": 173100, "typical_volume": 326155.0, "trend": 5.869, "fair_value": 4.420064, "relative_strength": 24.304873, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.610172, "energy": 33.27502, "activity_lines": [ 6.432, 6.38, 6.229095, 6.094 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }