{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7c37ed1e-5a92-4282-a044-ea82ea572408",
    "symbol": "RSPF",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 EQL WGT FINLS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.378,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.977,
    "architecture_energy": 91.178,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.208,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.047,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.82,
        "rotation_up": 84.63,
        "upward_expansion": 99.67,
        "deceleration": 39.12,
        "rotation_down": 9.6,
        "downward_expansion": 21.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        77.707744
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 84.31,
    "trend_reference": 76.465107,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102594,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 67.846129,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.242665,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.771676,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.084246,
    "excess_performance": -0.041378,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102594,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0155,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.242665,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096784,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017717,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09803,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084246,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.451171,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47438,
      "relative_activity": 0.658214,
      "balance": 3.451171,
      "dry_up": 1.090584,
      "accumulation_observations": 7,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025088,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.160699,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.221176
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 67.846129,
      "structural_low": 69.04,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.006151,
        "positive_rate": 0.419355,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.419355,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01499,
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        "worst_return": -0.179063,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.153474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.14411,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 66.619607,
        "relative_strength": -5.186639,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.139707,
        "energy": 47.983432,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 74915.5,
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        "fair_value": 66.826952,
        "relative_strength": -2.862183,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 79497.2,
        "trend": 75.887882,
        "fair_value": 67.031482,
        "relative_strength": -3.349776,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.4714,
        "energy": 76.331433,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 82.68,
        "volume": 83859,
        "typical_volume": 75821.9,
        "trend": 76.033016,
        "fair_value": 67.230735,
        "relative_strength": -0.297539,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.556869,
        "energy": 93.731845,
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          76.323065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 82.28,
        "volume": 105180,
        "typical_volume": 74847.75,
        "trend": 76.132241,
        "fair_value": 67.427085,
        "relative_strength": -0.003736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.562403,
        "energy": 90.509551,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.774467,
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          77.805261,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 83.3477,
        "volume": 77920,
        "typical_volume": 75601.6,
        "trend": 76.309925,
        "fair_value": 67.63299,
        "relative_strength": 0.34701,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.664075,
        "energy": 91.165718,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.54022,
          80.865634,
          78.517779,
          77.19161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.31,
        "volume": 47438,
        "typical_volume": 72070.8,
        "trend": 76.465107,
        "fair_value": 67.846129,
        "relative_strength": -1.771676,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.977318,
        "energy": 91.178434,
        "activity_lines": [
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          77.707744
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}