{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c4f7821-954b-4b87-aa09-ee7dd57d057f", "symbol": "WH", "name": "Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.406, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -36.929, "architecture_energy": 55.567, "architecture_maturity": 9.644, "architecture_confidence": 71.634, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.77, "rotation_up": 16.93, "upward_expansion": 19.58, "deceleration": 43.57, "rotation_down": 68.88, "downward_expansion": 61.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.716, 77.469894, 79.327473, 79.587437 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 73.81, "trend_reference": 79.412208, "distance_from_trend": -0.070546, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 79.250075, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.068644, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.495414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.034559, "excess_performance": -0.160184, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070546, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021433, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.068644, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119154, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164954, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080647, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034559, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.60241, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5880385, "relative_activity": 0.934798, "balance": 0.60241, "dry_up": 1.080488, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07762, "annualized_volatility": 0.29737, "from_high_reference": -0.178748, "from_low_reference": 0.083854 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.412208, "fair_value_reference": 79.250075, "structural_low": 71.268934, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002771, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010522, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.032982, "worst_return": -0.057485, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.015556, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.071263, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.030053, "worst_return": -0.112389, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.034714, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.017109, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.14452, "worst_return": -0.037458, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016645, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.266484, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.028582, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034886, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.171744, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }