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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.535, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.804, "architecture_energy": 86.821, "architecture_maturity": 43.359, "architecture_confidence": 92.199, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.28, "rotation_up": 61.77, "upward_expansion": 91.5, "deceleration": 47.93, "rotation_down": 28.98, "downward_expansion": 18.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 3562.034684, 3548.413485, 3503.601133, 3447.419624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3594.0, "trend_reference": 3385.766895, "distance_from_trend": 0.061502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2940.088172, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222412, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.46253, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10464, "excess_performance": 0.159306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017519, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.222412, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027209, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044625, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115583, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9497, "relative_activity": 4.05361, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.973665, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008488, "annualized_volatility": 0.088465, "from_high_reference": -0.005259, "from_low_reference": 0.121828 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3385.766895, "fair_value_reference": 2940.088172, "structural_low": 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3359.76189, "fair_value": 2903.512872, "relative_strength": 2.597325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.818009, "energy": 65.258958, "activity_lines": [ 3522.422249, 3519.115377, 3442.236204, 3398.307913 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3549.280029, "volume": 8999, "typical_volume": 1882.2, "trend": 3368.028223, "fair_value": 2912.627884, "relative_strength": 3.411842, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.307606, "energy": 66.983561, "activity_lines": [ 3528.632015, 3528.344505, 3458.346032, 3410.53489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3549.280029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1879.7, "trend": 3373.61556, "fair_value": 2921.685758, "relative_strength": 3.843482, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.003183, "energy": 66.9116, "activity_lines": [ 3534.918685, 3534.36907, 3473.21167, 3422.228555 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3549.280029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1868.0, "trend": 3379.202897, "fair_value": 2930.743632, "relative_strength": 3.121297, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.506341, "energy": 81.750324, "activity_lines": [ 3542.824023, 3538.348429, 3486.965641, 3433.561747 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3594.0, "volume": 9497, "typical_volume": 2342.85, "trend": 3385.766895, "fair_value": 2940.088172, "relative_strength": 4.46253, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.80392, "energy": 86.820527, "activity_lines": [ 3562.034684, 3548.413485, 3503.601133, 3447.419624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }