{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c532db4-5700-4d4f-8d92-f1389e9bde58", "symbol": "600886", "name": "SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.97, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.959, "architecture_energy": 54.112, "architecture_maturity": 5.509, "architecture_confidence": 71.888, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.13, "rotation_up": 67.79, "upward_expansion": 79.73, "deceleration": 53.07, "rotation_down": 11.13, "downward_expansion": 11.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.318805, 13.941686, 13.772686, 13.740549 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.23, "trend_reference": 13.632071, "distance_from_trend": 0.043862, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.056015, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.012378, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.898551, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116078, "excess_performance": 0.159282, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043862, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001313, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.012378, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034809, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.038986, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116078, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.351878, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156701402, "relative_activity": 1.03184, "balance": 1.351878, "dry_up": 1.658082, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050509, "annualized_volatility": 0.25819, "from_high_reference": -0.070381, "from_low_reference": 0.120472 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.632071, "fair_value_reference": 14.056015, "structural_low": 12.76, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.018285, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.015155, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.114769, "worst_return": -0.128161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.048922, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.016791, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.294959, "worst_return": -0.167393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.076184, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.069613, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.442337, "worst_return": -0.208126, "sufficient": true }, { 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13.999897, "relative_strength": 8.185521, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.564429, "energy": 9.584865, "activity_lines": [ 13.493328, 13.518446, 13.572589, 13.572673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.313949, "volume": 340387588, "typical_volume": 155141767.75, "trend": 13.551429, "fair_value": 14.018959, "relative_strength": 7.388831, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.976378, "energy": 29.362043, "activity_lines": [ 13.82405, 13.659365, 13.630161, 13.623597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.729266, "volume": 213205792, "typical_volume": 150871224.15, "trend": 13.595071, "fair_value": 14.039324, "relative_strength": 10.178761, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.830944, "energy": 54.91699, "activity_lines": [ 14.210281, 13.858452, 13.725077, 13.699586 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.23, "volume": 156701402, "typical_volume": 151865985.3, "trend": 13.632071, "fair_value": 14.056015, "relative_strength": 3.898551, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.958594, "energy": 54.111692, "activity_lines": [ 14.318805, 13.941686, 13.772686, 13.740549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }