{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c5bab4d-4a41-4079-8db7-b1bb34d70436", "symbol": "000531", "name": "Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.08, "architecture_energy": 48.668, "architecture_maturity": 17.984, "architecture_confidence": 89.283, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.41, "rotation_up": 17.18, "upward_expansion": 6.99, "deceleration": 49.11, "rotation_down": 60.66, "downward_expansion": 80.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.807333, 5.916416, 6.321765, 6.505095 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.85, "trend_reference": 6.673594, "distance_from_trend": -0.123411, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.097451, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040583, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.272995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.094427, "excess_performance": -0.101827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027031, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040583, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20343, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14273, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026434, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.094427, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.507443, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60392505, "relative_activity": 0.56057, "balance": 0.507443, "dry_up": 0.602279, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093069, "annualized_volatility": 0.448577, "from_high_reference": -0.316589, "from_low_reference": 0.065574 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.673594, "fair_value_reference": 6.097451, "structural_low": 5.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.036228, "positive_rate": 0.722222, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": 0.03944, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.153333, "worst_return": -0.102154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.062229, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.022191, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.201646, "worst_return": -0.185717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037139, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.038399, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.156499, "worst_return": -0.063102, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 6.715218, "fair_value": 6.11057, "relative_strength": -14.009544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.383915, "energy": 77.904311, "activity_lines": [ 5.786, 6.101349, 6.481269, 6.614609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.86, "volume": 47266428, "typical_volume": 112174537.25, "trend": 6.692261, "fair_value": 6.103183, "relative_strength": -10.099705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.33289, "energy": 69.485057, "activity_lines": [ 5.791333, 5.999677, 6.398898, 6.559434 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.85, "volume": 60392505, "typical_volume": 107734152.4, "trend": 6.673594, "fair_value": 6.097451, "relative_strength": -14.272995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.079545, "energy": 48.668296, "activity_lines": [ 5.807333, 5.916416, 6.321765, 6.505095 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }