{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7c5fe1f7-8fc6-41ea-ba1f-8a5d1839f703",
    "symbol": "VDY",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.631,
    "architecture_energy": 66.811,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.182,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.68,
        "rotation_up": 63.33,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.04,
        "rotation_down": 24.75,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        75.327464,
        73.204062
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 77.07,
    "trend_reference": 70.312737,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096103,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.767408,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.5181,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.718217,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.202148,
    "excess_performance": 0.081727,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096103,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082592,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.5181,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037859,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057182,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007819,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202148,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.189117,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1216600,
      "relative_activity": 1.336226,
      "balance": 1.189117,
      "dry_up": 1.284714,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022299,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.099738,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027998,
      "from_low_reference": 0.479969
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.312737,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.767408,
      "structural_low": 64.050931,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.014883,
        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00511,
        "regime_survival": 0.829268,
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        "worst_return": -0.068432,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
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        "worst_return": -0.100569,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020074,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.035479,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.017873,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1343300,
        "typical_volume": 938985.0,
        "trend": 68.671365,
        "fair_value": 49.987436,
        "relative_strength": 12.453735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.997439,
        "energy": 84.660686,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.126465,
          75.996319,
          73.578291,
          71.495386
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 78.660004,
        "volume": 998200,
        "typical_volume": 913895.0,
        "trend": 69.235759,
        "fair_value": 50.250632,
        "relative_strength": 11.582928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.089063,
        "energy": 73.871948,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.827969,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 78.459999,
        "volume": 1120700,
        "typical_volume": 895715.0,
        "trend": 69.798401,
        "fair_value": 50.514312,
        "relative_strength": 11.413588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.842581,
        "energy": 69.680986,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.242192,
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          74.901354,
          72.734927
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.07,
        "volume": 1216600,
        "typical_volume": 910475.0,
        "trend": 70.312737,
        "fair_value": 50.767408,
        "relative_strength": 5.718217,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.631215,
        "energy": 66.810611,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.003097,
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          75.327464,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}