{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c6544fd-8190-4798-838a-82f3f44c8c00", "symbol": "BAOS", "name": "Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.304, "architecture_energy": 90.982, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.099, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.3, "rotation_up": 10.71, "upward_expansion": 23.23, "deceleration": 34.17, "rotation_down": 84.22, "downward_expansion": 96.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.133047, 1.750385, 2.194157, 2.350226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.6513, "trend_reference": 2.540373, "distance_from_trend": -0.74362, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.985938, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.781878, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -79.431587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.751412, "excess_performance": -0.938866, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.74362, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085712, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.781878, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.603017, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.794316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.607889, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.751412, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.848132, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3982312, "relative_activity": 6.326533, "balance": 0.848132, "dry_up": 2.405077, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.935596, "annualized_volatility": 1.431923, "from_high_reference": -0.879389, "from_low_reference": 0.3026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.540373, "fair_value_reference": 2.985938, "structural_low": 0.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.016685, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.028827, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 1.193548, "worst_return": -0.392568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.067192, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.141459, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.814621, "worst_return": -0.350503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.078809, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.258295, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.386423, "worst_return": -0.401659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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2.656, 2.702547, 2.707577, 2.711488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.17, "volume": 898924, "typical_volume": 398200.25, "trend": 2.679003, "fair_value": 3.064008, "relative_strength": -62.300903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.677078, "energy": 68.233811, "activity_lines": [ 2.152, 2.418, 2.56291, 2.6108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5998, "volume": 755987, "typical_volume": 435586.55, "trend": 2.610997, "fair_value": 3.022404, "relative_strength": -80.419829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.043626, "energy": 85.062001, "activity_lines": [ 1.5646, 2.059782, 2.371128, 2.476658 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6513, "volume": 3982312, "typical_volume": 629462.0, "trend": 2.540373, "fair_value": 2.985938, "relative_strength": -79.431587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.303649, "energy": 90.981604, "activity_lines": [ 1.133047, 1.750385, 2.194157, 2.350226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }