{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7c66f683-1f75-49d1-82fb-a400b22ead60",
    "symbol": "SODER",
    "name": "S\u00f6der Sportfiske AB",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -30.884,
    "architecture_energy": 19.89,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.635,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.76,
        "rotation_up": 30.17,
        "upward_expansion": 18.38,
        "deceleration": 46.72,
        "rotation_down": 22.68,
        "downward_expansion": 54.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.233333,
        15.911818,
        16.041458,
        16.685345
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.25,
    "trend_reference": 17.676855,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.080719,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.451241,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.307073,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -28.137349,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.226399,
    "excess_performance": -0.287893,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080719,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085694,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.307073,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036483,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.281373,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105151,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226399,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.354606,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14641,
      "relative_activity": 0.348306,
      "balance": 0.354606,
      "dry_up": 0.716595,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076923,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.283208,
      "from_high_reference": -0.387797,
      "from_low_reference": 0.132404
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.676855,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.451241,
      "structural_low": 14.35,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.003135,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009097,
        "regime_survival": 0.823529,
        "best_return": 0.210526,
        "worst_return": -0.159851,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.032556,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032829,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.2,
        "worst_return": -0.196416,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.062227,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003774,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.273234,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.025449,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.152573,
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        "best_return": 0.09455,
        "worst_return": -0.043651,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -34.986005,
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        "typical_volume": 58244.25,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -35.647495,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 18.600104,
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        "relative_strength": -38.041391,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 23.710307,
        "relative_strength": -30.537079,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.308032,
        "energy": 50.23497,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.336666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 38620,
        "typical_volume": 39563.1,
        "trend": 18.333682,
        "fair_value": 23.648713,
        "relative_strength": -27.748051,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.20557,
        "energy": 35.484432,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.676666,
          15.629091,
          16.184335,
          17.041394
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.700001,
        "volume": 24678,
        "typical_volume": 39926.9,
        "trend": 18.136055,
        "fair_value": 23.586526,
        "relative_strength": -25.780682,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.078421,
        "energy": 22.577736,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.096667,
          15.810909,
          16.161894,
          16.935995
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.9,
        "volume": 42549,
        "typical_volume": 41752.4,
        "trend": 17.89903,
        "fair_value": 23.522109,
        "relative_strength": -29.264332,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.267709,
        "energy": 22.21741,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.136667,
          15.820909,
          16.075581,
          16.791734
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 14641,
        "typical_volume": 42034.9,
        "trend": 17.676855,
        "fair_value": 23.451241,
        "relative_strength": -28.137349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.883619,
        "energy": 19.890245,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.233333,
          15.911818,
          16.041458,
          16.685345
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}