{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c75721d-2796-4dbe-bf82-a6f22c3df6d1", "symbol": "SICT", "name": "Silicon Craft Technology Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.668, "architecture_energy": 35.384, "architecture_maturity": 54.625, "architecture_confidence": 61.777, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.1, "rotation_up": 43.68, "upward_expansion": 75.57, "deceleration": 68.88, "rotation_down": 24.39, "downward_expansion": 4.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.978667, 2.958909, 2.843964, 2.720772 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.92, "trend_reference": 2.580531, "distance_from_trend": 0.13155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.017093, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.273106, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.390131, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.229806, "excess_performance": 0.037481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.13155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09485, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.273106, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216214, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003901, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.210944, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.229806, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.200974, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8745900, "relative_activity": 1.040898, "balance": 4.200974, "dry_up": 1.335756, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105374, "annualized_volatility": 0.371505, "from_high_reference": -0.175141, "from_low_reference": 0.341606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.580531, "fair_value_reference": 4.017093, "structural_low": 2.196282, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.028605, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.008504, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.284437, "worst_return": -0.286667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.031568, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.208527, "worst_return": -0.309091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.066331, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.080252, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.201775, "worst_return": -0.465455, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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2.94, "volume": 8826100, "typical_volume": 8005475.0, "trend": 2.559045, "fair_value": 4.054145, "relative_strength": -0.957708, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.756557, "energy": 41.806355, "activity_lines": [ 3.001333, 2.967273, 2.819513, 2.697485 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.92, "volume": 8745900, "typical_volume": 8402265.0, "trend": 2.580531, "fair_value": 4.017093, "relative_strength": -0.390131, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.668192, "energy": 35.3843, "activity_lines": [ 2.978667, 2.958909, 2.843964, 2.720772 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }