{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7c83cb7a-b842-4625-9b2b-0bddb0f58cf6", "symbol": "IL&FSENGG", "name": "IL&FS Engineering and Construction Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.956, "architecture_energy": 77.535, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.617, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.11, "rotation_up": 71.3, "upward_expansion": 87.86, "deceleration": 48.06, "rotation_down": 10.71, "downward_expansion": 16.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.039333, 32.217818, 30.497143, 29.076021 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 36.860001, "trend_reference": 27.397, "distance_from_trend": 0.345403, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.826538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158153, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.56051, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.424266, "excess_performance": 0.467975, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.345403, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053515, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158153, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224652, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.325605, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.328297, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.424266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.585558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 190232, "relative_activity": 1.937261, "balance": 1.585558, "dry_up": 1.521564, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092992, "annualized_volatility": 0.574422, "from_high_reference": -0.011796, "from_low_reference": 0.755238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.397, "fair_value_reference": 31.826538, "structural_low": 21.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.033445, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": 0.017571, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 1.517857, "worst_return": -0.264172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.238683, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.257049, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.150442, "worst_return": -0.508718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.355932, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.315515, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 2.165584, "worst_return": -0.299077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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26.387333, "fair_value": 31.272564, "relative_strength": 8.718871, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.846855, "energy": 52.173739, "activity_lines": [ 30.252666, 29.616364, 28.169809, 27.242129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.549999, "volume": 74615, "typical_volume": 122553.95, "trend": 26.472333, "fair_value": 31.386987, "relative_strength": 4.039584, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.897811, "energy": 43.175593, "activity_lines": [ 29.824, 29.545818, 28.334476, 27.381656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.57, "volume": 76738, "typical_volume": 109556.55, "trend": 26.521, "fair_value": 31.477179, "relative_strength": 0.494148, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.921569, "energy": 21.412144, "activity_lines": [ 29.008, 29.256182, 28.37719, 27.452473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.559999, "volume": 100265, "typical_volume": 109630.0, "trend": 26.675333, "fair_value": 31.569872, "relative_strength": 17.913537, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.378772, "energy": 27.639263, "activity_lines": [ 29.612, 29.706, 28.791, 27.77757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.98, "volume": 230413, "typical_volume": 92506.95, "trend": 27.038667, "fair_value": 31.69891, "relative_strength": 34.357972, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.704724, "energy": 54.028888, "activity_lines": [ 32.063333, 31.054545, 29.685238, 28.442387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.860001, "volume": 190232, "typical_volume": 98196.35, "trend": 27.397, "fair_value": 31.826538, "relative_strength": 32.56051, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.956034, "energy": 77.535311, "activity_lines": [ 34.039333, 32.217818, 30.497143, 29.076021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }